In a 5-round women’s flyweight bout in the main event, Erin Blanchfield and Manon Fiorot meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 54 at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET, also on ESPN/ESPN+.
Records: Blanchfield (12-1-0) | Fiorot (11-1-0)
This is an elite-level matchup, as Blanchfield and Fiorot have each combined for just 2 losses in 25 career bouts.
Blanchfield has won all 6 fights since arriving at the UFC level, with 3 unanimous-decision wins, including a UD over Taila Santos last time out in late August, while the other 3 wins are each via submission. That includes a win over Jessica Andrade in Feb. 2023 in her only other UFC main event.
Fiorot has logged 4 straight unanimous-decision wins, and she, too, is 6-0 since arriving at the UFC level. That includes a UD win over Rose Namajunas last time out in early September. This is her 1st-ever main event at the UFC level.
Blanchfield is 10 years younger than the challenger, while Fiorot holds a slight 6.05-to-5.58 significant strikes landed per minute. Blanchfield is much more accurate at 61.71% on those strikes, however, while Fiorot tends to flail around, with just a 41.76% accuracy percentage on those strikes.
In the ground Game, Blanchfield holds a 2.86 takedown average, and a 1.19 submission average.
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UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Blanchfield -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Fiorot +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +135)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -120)
UFC on ESPN 54: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Blanchfield (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too expensive for a standalone wager. As part of a multi-fighter parlay, including Blanchfield can certainly be excused.
The younger fighter is much more accurate with her significant strikes, and she is better in the takedown game, too. Blanchfield also has the experience of a main event to tap into, while this will be Fiorot’s first 5-bout UFC event.
The play is going with BLANCHFIELD BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+200) for a chance to double up. She just does all of the little things better, and she’ll catch the eye of the judges to rack up points per round over the more inaccurate Fiorot.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 3.5 ROUNDS (-175) is a little expensive, but worth it. Fiorot has ended up going the distance in 4 straight fights, while Blanchfield is coming off a unanimous-decision win against Santos last time out.
YES (-110): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play at near even-money. Fiorot has needed the help of the judges to decide a winner in 4 in a row, while Blanchfield has gone the distance in 4 of her past 7 pro bouts.
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