In a 5-round flyweight bout in the main event, Brandon Moreno and Amir Albazi meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 246 – also known as UFC on ESPN+ 104 – at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 246: Moreno vs. Albazi odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Records: Moreno (21-8-2) | Albazi (17-1-0)
Moreno is looking to bounce back after a split-decision loss to Brandon Royval last time out in the main event on Feb. 24. That setback came on the heels of a championship bout loss to Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 290 in July 2023. His last victory came in a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage against Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 283 Jan. 21, 2023.
Albazi picked up a split-decision win against Kai Kara-France June 3, 2023, in his most recent appearance in a fight night main event. Since making his UFC debut on July 18, 2020, he has picked up 5 victories, including 2 submission victories, a KO/TKO win over Alessandro Costa, and 2 decision victories.
Moreno holds a 2-inch reach advantage, and he has a 3.87-to-2.80 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, too. Moreno is more accurate at 50.29%, while Albazi has managed a 48.57% mark. The takedown average difference is negligible, while Moreno is more accurate in that category, too, going 46.88%.
Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.
UFC Fight Night 246: Moreno vs. Albazi odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Moreno -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Albazi +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +150)
UFC Fight Night 246: Moreno vs. Albazi picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
MORENO (-165) is worth a look as a moderate favorite over the Iraqi challenger. He is just 2 fights removed from fighting for a championship at this weight class, and he is looking to bounce back and position himself for another run at the strap.
Albazi (+140) has won each of his fights at the UFC level, but outside of Kara-France, he hasn’t faced a great level of talent.
We’ll roll the dice on MORENO BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+125) at plus-money. He has gone the distance in each of the past 2 outings, and 4 of the previous 7 fights.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-200) is a little on the expensive side, costing you 2 times your potential return. Straight up, it isn’t a great wager, but if you fold it into a multi-leg parlay, it can be excused.
Albazi went the distance last time out, and he has needed the judges to determine a winner in 2 of his past 4 fights.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.
