In a 3-round middleweight bout on the main card, Marc-Andre Barriault and Dustin Stoltzfus meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 246 – also known as UFC on ESPN+ 104 – at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 246: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Records: Barriault (16-8-0) | Stoltzfus (15-6-0)
The Canadian Barriault fights in his native country looking to snap a 2-bout skid. He suffered a first-round KO/TKO last time out against Joe Pyfer at UFC 303 last time out in late June. Before that, he suffered a split-decision loss against Chris Curtis at UFC 297. His most recent win was against Eryk Anders on UFC 289 in a unanimous-decision victory.
For Stoltzfus, he was knocked out at the end of Round 1 against Brunno Ferreira in early June, and he is just 2-5 in his past 7 fights. He has tapped out twice, while losing via KO/TKO twice, and once via unanimous decision.
Stoltzfus holds a 1-inch reach advantage, although Barriault is well ahead with a 6.12-to-3.51 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Stoltzfus is slightly more accurate at 56.61%, and he is well ahead in takedown average at 2.45-to-0.21. As such, Barriault will want to avoid going to the mat, where Stoltzfus has a 1.02 submission average.
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UFC Fight Night 246: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Barriault -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Stoltzfus +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
- Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over -145 | Under +110)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -120)
UFC Fight Night 246: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
Barriault (-200) will set you back 2 times your potential return if you were to play him straight up on the 2-way line. That’s too expensive straight up, so let’s get specific.
Barriault will be trying to stay upright, as Stoltzfus (+165) is at his best on the mat, and that’s where he could get the job done against the Canadian fighter.
The favorite will likely be very careful, and this could be a fight where the crowd gets a little impatient with the slow pace. BARRIAULT BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) is the best way to go.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-110): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is a safe play, especially if you want a little action on the fight, and you don’t necessarily want to declare a winner.
Barriault has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 fights, but be careful. Stoltzfus hasn’t gone the distance since July 16, 2022 against Dwight Grant, finishing inside the distance in each of his past 3 bouts.
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