In a 5-round women’s flyweight bout in the co-main event, Erin Blanchfield and Rose Namajunas meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 246 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 104 — at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 246: Blanchfield vs. Namajunas odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, while the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET.
Records: Blanchfield (12-2-0) | Namajunas (14-6-0)
Blanchfield suffered a unanimous-decision loss against Manon Fiorot March 30 in a Fight Night main event. It was her first loss at the UFC level after winning her first 6 fights with the company. She has ended up going the distance in 4 of her 7 UFC fights, while recording 3 submission victories.
Namajunas has recorded 2 straight unanimous-decisions wins over Amanda Ribas and Tracy Cortez, and she has ended up going the distance in 5 consecutive fights.
Blanchfield has a slight 1-inch reach advantage over “Thug,” and she has a 5.47-to-3.70 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Blanchfield is much more accurate with those strikes, too, hitting at a 54.04% clip, while Namajunas lands just 46.66% of those significant strikes.
In the takedown average, Blanchfield has managed a 2.05 mark, while Namajunas checks in at 1.55. Namajunas is much more accurate in takedown accuracy, posting an impressive 53.19% mark, while Blanchfield has a solid 1.02 submission average.
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UFC Fight Night 246: Blanchfield vs. Namajunas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Blanchfield -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Namajunas +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +175)
UFC Fight Night 246: Blanchfield vs. Namajunas picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
BLANCHFIELD (-140) is an outstanding play straight up. As long as she can avoid going to the mat with Namajunas (+115) — where the former 2-time strawweight champ is at her best — Blanchfield will get the job done.
This is a fight that should be able to go the distance. Backing BLANCHFIELD BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+125) at plus-money to win on points has good value, too, if you want to get specific. However, playing the moderate favorite straight isn’t terrible and gives you a win if she gets a KO/TKO or submission, too. It really depends on how conservative of a bettor you are.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes: Fight to go the distance (-250) will cost you 2½ times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive straight up. However, as part of a multi-leg parlay, it can be excused tossing it in.
However, AVOID playing this prop by itself.
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