The Memphis Grizzlies (7-5) take on the Golden State Warriors (9-2) Friday in NBA Cup group play at Chase Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Warriors won 2-1 last year
The Ja-less Grizzlies covered as 7.5-point dogs in a 128-123 loss at the Los Angeles Lakers Wednesday night. It was their fourth straight cover, and they’re 6-1 ATS in the last 7 with many of their starters in and out. G Marcus Smart returned Wednesday and posted 15 points in 22 minutes. F Jaren Jackson Jr. took control underneath with 29 points.
The Dubs have won 2 straight following a 120-117 cover as 2.5-point faves against the Dallas Mavericks Tuesday. G Stephen Curry went for 30+ in his second straight game with 37 points (5 triples), 9 assists and 6 boards. Curry dropped 36 at the Oklahoma City Thunder and led the 6.5-point dogs to an impressive 127-116 road win Sunday.
Grizzlies at Warriors odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Warriors -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Grizzlies +7.5 (-110) | Warriors -7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Grizzlies at Warriors key injuries
Grizzlies
- G Desmond Bane (oblique) questionable
- F Brandon Clarke (toe) questionable
- F GG Jackson (foot) out
- G Ja Morant (hip) out
Warriors
- F Kyle Anderson (neck) questionable
- G De’Anthony Melton (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Grizzlies at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 124, Grizzlies 118
Moneyline
Golden State is the side here, but not at this price.
Smart’s return will make things more difficult for Curry, but they’ll likely use switches to spring him free. That will also give him more options to dish, and he has 6+ dimes in 5 of 6. Take STEPHEN CURRY OVER 5.5 ASSISTS (-155).
Against the spread
As mentioned, the Grizz are 6-1 ATS over the last 7. Smart is back, and Bane has a chance to return as well. The Grizz are 4-6 in the last 10 meetings, but they’re 6-4 ATS. Golden State has played some fierce customers lately, and it may not have the separation papers for this one.
Take the GRIZZLIES +7.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Warriors have dropped 117+ in 6 straight Games. Memphis has dropped 123+ in 4 straight. Golden State has cashed 6 straight Overs, and Memphis has hit 3 of 4.
I don’t love this number, but the trends say take the OVER 235.5 (-115).
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