In a 3-round women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Angela Hill and Tabatha Ricci meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 62 — also known as UFC Vegas 96 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 62: Hill vs. Ricci odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Records: Hill (17-13-0) | Ricci (10-2-0)
The 39-year-old Hill, a.k.a. “Overkill”, heads into this fight looking for a 3rd consecutive victory. The Alliance MMA fighter has really pieced things together since a 3-bout skid from Aug. 7, 2021, to May 14, 2022. She has won 4 of the past 5 bouts, with all but one of those fights going the distance. Hill picked up a 2nd-round submission win against Luana Pinheiro in mid-May.
Ricci picked up a split-decision win against Tecia Pennington last time out, bouncing back from a split-decision disappointment against Loopy Godinez in the previous fight at UFC 295. She has won 5 of her past 6 fights since dropping her company debut against Manon Fiorot June 5, 2021.
Hill is 10 years older than Ricci, and she holds a 3.5-inch reach advantage. In addition, Hill has a 5.38-to-4.28 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, too. The veteran is more accurate on those strikes at 52.26%, too, while Ricci is much better in the ground-and-pound.
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UFC on ESPN 62: Hill vs. Ricci odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:09 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Hill +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Ricci -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -600 | Under +370)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -460 | No +320)
UFC on ESPN 62: Hill vs. Ricci picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
The veteran HILL (+110) still has some tricks up her sleeve, and she is the play at plus-money.
She’ll use her tremendous reach advantage to draw Ricci (-130) in and out at her choice while trying to keep this fight a toe-to-toe brawl. Hill cannot afford to lose her footing and get sucked into a wrestling match, or things will go much different.
Hill is a brawler, and she has a ton of punching power, but her ground game isn’t close to Ricci. As long as she can stay upright, Hill is in good shape.
Over/Under (O/U)
Yes (-460): Will the fight go the distance? will set you back more than 4½ times, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.
Going with Over 2.5 Rounds (-600) is even more costly, and it makes less sense.
Instead, take HILL BY POINTS (+145) for the method of victory for a much better payout.
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