NFL

Cleveland Browns vs LA Chargers Prediction 11-3-24 NFL Picks

Published

3w ago

Oct 30, 2024 / 6103 Views

Evan Walker

LA Chargers (4-3) vs. Cleveland Browns (2-6)
November 3, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Browns +2.5; Over/Under: +44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Chargers and Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in week 9 NFL action at Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Cleveland Browns vs LA Chargers Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Browns vs LA Chargers Pick.

Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Chargers beat the Saints, lost to the Cardinals, and they get the Titans next. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last 4 road Games. Justin Herbert is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 1,443 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ladd McConkey and Joshua Palmer have combined for 619 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Will Dissly has 26 receptions.

The Los Angeles Chargers ground Game is averaging 117.1 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 535 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 13 points and 305.4 yards per Game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 54 tackles, Khalil Mack has 3.5 sacks and Elijah Molden has 2 interceptions.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns lost to the Bengals, beat the Ravens, and they play the Saints next. The Cleveland Browns have lost 3 of their last 4 home Games. Jameis Winston is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 417 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy and David Njoku have combined for 571 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Elijah Moore has 30 receptions.

The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 92.5 yards per contest, and Jerome Ford leads the way with 264 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 23.3 points and 326.5 yards per game. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah leads the Cleveland Browns with 61 tackles, Za’Darius Smith has 5 sacks and Denzel Ward has 12 pass deflections.

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

The Browns have won eight of their last nine games at Huntington Bank Field against teams that held a winning record.
The Chargers have lost three of their last four November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
The Browns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a Division game.
The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
The Chargers have lost the first quarter in four of their last five November games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
The Chargers have lost the first half in three of their last four games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
The Browns have scored the first touchdown in 26 of their last 33 home games against AFC opponents.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

Nick Chubb has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his last seven November appearances.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
Nick Chubb has recorded 52+ rushing yards in 23 of his last 24 home appearances.
Nick Chubb has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his nine previous November home appearances.
Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against AFC West opponents.
Deshaun Watson has thrown two touchdowns in each of his four previous Week 9 appearances.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against AFC West opponents.
Heading into Week 9, Deshaun Watson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (13.3%) this season.

Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts

Justin Herbert has recorded 228+ passing yards in each of the Chargers’ last 12 road games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
Justin Herbert has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of the Chargers’ last seven November games.
Quentin Johnston has recorded 34+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances following a win.
J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in each of his last five Sunday appearances with his team as a favorite.
D.J. Chark Jr. has recorded 43+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite.
Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Chargers’ last 12 road games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
Justin Herbert has thrown three touchdowns in three of the Chargers’ last five November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Asante Samuel Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 9, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (2282) this season.
Heading into Week 9, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (27.7%) this season.
Heading into Week 9, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (13.0) this season.
Heading into Week 9, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (1.3) this season.

Cleveland Browns vs LA Chargers Prediction

The LA Chargers should win this Game given the gap in talent, but their offense continues to struggle, and it makes me cautious backing them on the road. The Cleveland Browns are coming off a massive upset of the Ravens and the switch to Winston at quarterback, appears to have injected some confidence in the locker room. Winston’s energy just gives off positive vibes, and it could lead to some more upsets if teams aren’t careful. The Chargers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 Games as a favorite. Give me the Browns and the points.