NFL

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction 11-21-24 NFL Picks

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49s ago

Nov 19, 2024 / 328 Views

Evan Walker

Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) vs. Cleveland Browns (2-8)
November 21, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Browns +3.5; Over/Under: 36.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns meet Thursday in week 12 NFL action at Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Pick.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Commanders and Ravens, and play the Bengals next. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 4 of their last 5 road games. Russell Wilson is completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 942 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 1,023 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Calvin Austin III has 17 receptions.

The Pittsburgh Steelers ground Game is averaging 136.7 yards per contest, and Najee Harris leads the way with 708 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 16.2 points and 305.3 yards per Game. Patrick Queen leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 72 tackles, T.J. Watt has 7.5 sacks and Donte Jackson has 3 interceptions.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns lost to the Chargers and Saints, and they play the Broncos next. The Cleveland Browns have lost 4 of their last 5 home Games. Jameis Winston is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 1,047 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy and David Njoku have combined for 896 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Elijah Moore has 39 receptions.

The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 88.5 yards per contest, and Jerome Ford leads the way with 279 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 24.8 points and 342.7 yards per game. Grant Delpit leads the Cleveland Browns with 62 tackles, Myles Garrett has 7 sacks and Denzel Ward has 1 interception.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

The Steelers have won each of their last eight games as road favorites following a Division game.
The Browns have lost seven of their last eight games.
The Steelers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against AFC North opponents.
The Browns have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 16 November games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
The Browns have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games following a road loss.
The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last seven November games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a home win.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five previous Week 12 appearances.
Nick Chubb has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his 10 previous November home appearances.
Jameis Winston has recorded 220+ passing yards in each of his seven previous November appearances with his team as a home underdog.
David Njoku has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances against AFC North opponents.
Nick Chubb has recorded 58+ rushing yards in each of his last 10 appearances against the Steelers.
Deshaun Watson has thrown two touchdowns in each of his four previous home appearances in November.
Jameis Winston has recorded 25+ completions in six of his last seven home appearances against AFC opponents.
Heading into Week 12, Deshaun Watson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (13.3%) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

Najee Harris has scored a touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last four games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
Russell Wilson has recorded 17+ completions in each of his nine previous Thursday appearances with his team as a favorite.
Russell Wilson has recorded 191+ passing yards in each of his nine previous Thursday appearances with his team as a favorite.
Najee Harris has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Steelers’ last eight games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
Russell Wilson has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of his nine previous Thursday appearances with his team as a favorite.
Mike Williams has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
Cameron Sutton is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 12, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (2828) this season.
Heading into Week 12, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (28.2%) this season.
Heading into Week 12, the Steelers rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.0 yards) this season.
Heading into Week 12, the Steelers rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (1.3) this season.

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction

The Cleveland Browns are coming off back to back blowout losses and there’s just not enough offense to comPete. The Browns have scored 18 or fewer points in 9 of their last 10 Games and are 27th in total offense and 31st in scoring offense. I doubt the Browns find their offensive success against one of the best defenses in the Steelers. The Pittsburgh Steelers are also 8-2 ATS on the season, so they’re tied with the Lions as the most profitable team in the NFL. I’m not a fan of road favorites on short weeks, but I can’t get behind the Browns.