An anticipated close matchup will see the New England Patriots (1-3) take the field as only 1-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins (1-3) on Sunday, October 6, 2024 at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are riding three-game losing streaks. This contest has an over/under of 36.5.

Find Game prop insights below in this article, including team to score first, first-half scoring props, and prop bets for the top players.

Patriots vs. Dolphins game odds

NFL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 1:45 p.m. ET. For a full list of Sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Patriots +1 (-105 to cover)
  • Moneylines: Patriots -110, Dolphins -110
  • Total: 36.5 points (Over: -110, Under: -110)
  • Pick ATS: Patriots (-1)
  • Pick OU: Under (36.5)
  • Prediction:
    Patriots 28 – Dolphins 8

First TD odds and insights

First TD odds: Patriots -120, Dolphins -105

  • This year the Patriots have scored the first TD two times (in four games).
  • In those two games when New England notched the first TD, it threw for one and ran for one.
  • Looking at the first quarter only, the Patriots have put one touchdown on the board, 24th among all teams.
  • The Dolphins have played four games this season, and have not scored the opening touchdown in any of them.
  • In the first quarter, the Dolphins have scored one touchdown, 24th in the league.
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Rhamondre Stevenson player props

  • Rushing yard prop: Over/under 59.5 yards
  • Rhamondre Stevenson averages 66.8 rushing yards per game this season, which outpaces Sunday’s prop total of 59.5 yards.
  • Stevenson went over his rushing yards total two times in four games played this season.
  • Stevenson has a rushing touchdown in two games this year, but no games with multiple rushing TDs.

Jacoby Brissett player props

  • Passing yard prop: Over/under 160.5 yards
  • Rushing yard prop: Over/under 9.5 yards
  • Jacoby Brissett’s per-game passing yardage average this season (134.0) is 26.5 passing yards fewer than Sunday’s over/under.
  • Brissett has not gone over his passing yard total yet this season in two games.
  • Brissett has a passing touchdown in two of four games this season, but no games with more than one passing TD.

Devon Achane player props

  • Rushing yard prop: Over/under 55.5 yards
  • Receiving yard prop: Over/under 24.5 yards
  • Devon Achane’s rushing yards over/under is set at 55.5 yards, compared to his season average of 41.3 yards per game.
  • Achane has hit the over on his rushing yards total once in four opportunities this season.
  • Achane has one rushing touchdown this season in four games played.

Tyreek Hill player props

  • Receiving yard prop: Over/under 47.5 yards
  • Tyreek Hill’s 54.3 receiving yards per game average is 6.8 more than his prop bet total for Sunday’s matchup (47.5).
  • In one of his four games this season (25.0%), Hill has gone over on receiving yards prop bets.
  • In one of four games this year, Hill has a receiving touchdown. But he has no games with multiple receiving TDs.