An anticipated close matchup will see the New England Patriots (1-3) take the field as only 1-point favorites against the Miami Dolphins (1-3) on Sunday, October 6, 2024 at Gillette Stadium. Both teams are riding three-game losing streaks. This contest has an over/under of 36.5.
Find Game prop insights below in this article, including team to score first, first-half scoring props, and prop bets for the top players.
Patriots vs. Dolphins game odds
NFL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 1:45 p.m. ET. For a full list of Sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
- Spread: Patriots +1 (-105 to cover)
- Moneylines: Patriots -110, Dolphins -110
- Total: 36.5 points (Over: -110, Under: -110)
- Pick ATS: Patriots (-1)
- Pick OU: Under (36.5)
- Prediction:
Patriots 28 – Dolphins 8
First TD odds and insights
First TD odds: Patriots -120, Dolphins -105
- This year the Patriots have scored the first TD two times (in four games).
- In those two games when New England notched the first TD, it threw for one and ran for one.
- Looking at the first quarter only, the Patriots have put one touchdown on the board, 24th among all teams.
- The Dolphins have played four games this season, and have not scored the opening touchdown in any of them.
- In the first quarter, the Dolphins have scored one touchdown, 24th in the league.
Rhamondre Stevenson player props
- Rushing yard prop: Over/under 59.5 yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson averages 66.8 rushing yards per game this season, which outpaces Sunday’s prop total of 59.5 yards.
- Stevenson went over his rushing yards total two times in four games played this season.
- Stevenson has a rushing touchdown in two games this year, but no games with multiple rushing TDs.
Jacoby Brissett player props
- Passing yard prop: Over/under 160.5 yards
- Rushing yard prop: Over/under 9.5 yards
- Jacoby Brissett’s per-game passing yardage average this season (134.0) is 26.5 passing yards fewer than Sunday’s over/under.
- Brissett has not gone over his passing yard total yet this season in two games.
- Brissett has a passing touchdown in two of four games this season, but no games with more than one passing TD.
Devon Achane player props
- Rushing yard prop: Over/under 55.5 yards
- Receiving yard prop: Over/under 24.5 yards
- Devon Achane’s rushing yards over/under is set at 55.5 yards, compared to his season average of 41.3 yards per game.
- Achane has hit the over on his rushing yards total once in four opportunities this season.
- Achane has one rushing touchdown this season in four games played.
Tyreek Hill player props
- Receiving yard prop: Over/under 47.5 yards
- Tyreek Hill’s 54.3 receiving yards per game average is 6.8 more than his prop bet total for Sunday’s matchup (47.5).
- In one of his four games this season (25.0%), Hill has gone over on receiving yards prop bets.
- In one of four games this year, Hill has a receiving touchdown. But he has no games with multiple receiving TDs.