The Houston Texans (6-4) and the Dallas Cowboys (3-6) meet for Monday Night Football at AT&T Stadium in Arlington. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Cowboys odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Texans lost 26-23 against the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football last weekend, although they did hang on to cover as 4-point underdogs. The total pushed (49) at most shops, too. Houston has dropped 3 of its past 4 outings with the Under going 3-0-1. The total has gone low at a 7-1-1 clip in the previous 9 outings.
Houston is 1-3 straight up (SU) against NFC teams this season, winning 19-13 in Week 2 against the Chicago Bears in a game which was a push as a 6-point favorite. The Texans are 2-1-1 against the spread (ATS) vs. NFC teams this season, while the Under is 3-0-1 in those contests.
The Texans are expected to welcome back WR Nico Collins after a 5-game absence. He was leading the NFL in receiving prior to this injury, so perhaps his return will snap QB C.J. Stroud and the Houston offense back on track.
Dallas is coming off a 34-6 blowout loss to the Philadelphia Eagles last week, although that wasn’t the most disappointing sporting event at AT&T Stadium in the past week. That was the Jake Paul-Mike Tyson farce. Anyway, the Cowboys have lost and failed to cover in 4 in a row, while the Under has cashed in 2 straight outings. The total has gone low in 4 of the past 6 outings, too.
QB Cooper Rush started against the Eagles in place of the injured QB Dak Prescott (hamstring), who is out for the season. QB Trey Lance also made an appearance in the rout.
The Cowboys are 2-1 SU/ATS in 3 tries against AFC foes this season, while the Over is 2-1 in those games. It lost to the Baltimore Ravens in the only previous home game against an AFC team this season, however.
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Texans at Cowboys odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 7:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texans -375 (bet $375 to win $100) | Cowboys +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texans -7 (-118) | Cowboys +7 (-104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Texans at Cowboys key injuries
Texans
- DE Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) out
- DT Folorunso Fatukasi (foot) out
- OT Blake Fisher (concussion) out
- CB Kamari Lassiter (concussion) questionable
- CB Jeff Okudah (quadriceps) questionable
Cowboys
- CB DaRon Bland (foot) out
- OT Edoma Chuga (toe) questionable
- WR CeeDee Lamb (back) questionable
- CB Jourdan Lewis (neck) out
- FB Hunter Luepke (calf) doubtful
- OG Zack Martin (shoulder) questionable
- QB Dak Prescott (hamstring) out
- LB Nick Vigil (foot) questionable
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Texans at Cowboys picks and predictions
Prediction
Texans 26, Cowboys 13
Moneyline
The Texans (-375) will set you back nearly 4 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward.
While the Cowboys (+300) are a mess and Houston should be much better as Collins is folded back into the lineup, this is just too much risk, especially on the road.
PASS.
Against the spread
Playing TEXANS -7 (-118) is a much more economical option.
Houston should be a lot more effective on offense with Collins back, joining WR Tank Dell. Stroud has struggled with his receivers dropping like flies, but the Texans are about as healthy as they’ve been in several weeks. The same cannot be said for the Cowboys +7 (-104).
Over/Under
UNDER 41.5 (-105) is a decent play, although this is an awfully low number.
Still, the Texans have cashed low in 2 in a row, and 4 of the past 6 outings, while the Cowboys offense looked like hot garbage last week with no Prescott, and no real run game to speak of. Toss in the fact Lamb is nicked up and an uncertainty, and Dallas could really have trouble moving the ball again.
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