The Washington Capitals (11-4-1) visit the Vegas Golden Knights (11-4-2) Sunday with puck drop from T-Mobile Arena set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Capitals vs. Golden Knights odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Capitals lead 1-0
This is the middle stop of a 3-game west swing for the Capitals, who beat the Colorado Avalanche 5-2 Friday. Washington won as +146 road underdogs, and the total (7) pushed. C Connor McMichael led the way with 2 goals, while C Pierre-Luc Dubois contributed 2 assists.
The Golden Knights enter on a 2-game win streak following a 4-2 victory at the Utah Hockey Club Friday. VGK prevailed as a -119 road favorite with the Over/Under line (6) pushing. C Tomas Hertl and C William Karlsson each scored 2 goals, while C Jack Eichel added 2 assists in the win.
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Capitals at Golden Knights odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 3:39 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Capitals +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Golden Knights -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Capitals +1.5 (-225) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Capitals at Golden Knights projected goalies
Logan Thompson (7-0-1, 2.71 GAA, .906 SV%) vs. Adin Hill (8-3-1, 3.16 GAA, .886 SV%, 1 SO)
Thompson took his first “L” of the season Wednesday in a 4-3 overtime loss at home vs. the Toronto Maple Leafs, allowing 4 goals on 34 shots. Thompson, in his first campaign with the Capitals after playing his first 4 seasons for Golden Knights — winning a Stanely Cup in 2023 — but has been outstanding for his new team. In his 3 games before Wednesday’s loss, he recorded a 1.67 GAA and .948 SV%.
Hill may be 4-1 in November, but his play has been inconsistent with a 3.12 GAA and a .893 SV% in 6 games this month. He lost to the Capitals in their first meeting this season, allowing 4 goals on 22 shots in a 4-2 setback on the road Oct. 15. Thompson was the winning goalie, stopping 24 of 26 shots.
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Capitals at Golden Knights picks and predictions
Prediction
Golden Knights 4, Capitals 3
Moneyline
BET GOLDEN KNIGHTS (-130).
This matchup feels close, but the Golden Knights’ home dominance tips the scales in their favor. They are 8-1 at home this season, including 8-0 ATS as home favorites. Plus, Vegas boasts a 5-0 record in their last 5 home Games against Washington, dating back to December 2018 — the last Capitals win in Sin City was their Stanely Cup Game-5 clinching victory June 7, 2018.
The Capitals have looked solid recently, but their last win came against an Avalanche team with weak goaltending. Facing a tougher opponent in Vegas on the road, look for Washington to struggle, giving VGK the edge.
Puck line/Against the spread
PASS.
This game is too close of a matchup to play around with the puck line. I’ll keep my bet to the moneyline.
Over/Under
BET OVER 6.5 (-120).
The Golden Knights are 7-2 O/U at home this season and 12-4-1 O/U overall, while the Capitals are 9-6-1 O/U overall.
As mentioned above, their first matchup this season hit the 6-goal total (4-2), cashing the Over (5.5). Both teams have been thriving offensively, with average defensive play. This suggests a fast-paced, back-and-forth Game that should go OVER the total.
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