The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Wednesday for the opener of their best-of-7 Western Conference Finals. Tip-off from Target Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Dallas came away with a 117-116 win over the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder to close out their 2nd-round series in 6 Games Saturday. While the Mavs advanced, they did fail to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The Mavs held the Thunder to only 36.6% (15-for-41) shooting from deep while having 3 starters score over 20 points in the win.
Minnesota beat the Denver Nuggets 98-90 in Game 7 Sunday, covering as a 4-point road underdog to move on to the West Finals. The Wolves, who trailed by 20 points early in the 3rd quarter, outscored the Nuggets 60-37 in the 2nd half. Minnesota won back-to-back games vs. Denver after losing 3-straight and falling behind 3-2 in the series.
Mavericks at Timberwolves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Timberwolves -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Mavericks +4.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Mavericks at Timberwolves key injuries
Mavericks
- G Luka Doncic (knee, ankle) probable
Timberwolves
- G Mike Conley (lower leg) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Mavericks at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Timberwolves 105, Mavericks 99
Moneyline
PASS.
Look for the Timberwolves (-185) to ride the momentum from their Game 7 win at the Denver Nuggets when they rallied from 20 down against the defending champs. However, the juice doesn’t make a Minnesota ML bet worth the risk. Back the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
LEAN TIMBERWOLVES -4.5 (-105).
Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 contests, including covers in its last 2 games vs. Denver.
The T-wolves are 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS in the last 5 head-to-head meetings vs. the Mavs. Plus, Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in the last 5 at home vs. Dallas.
The last time they met, the Timberwolves covered as 13-point home favorites in a 121-87 rout in late January.
While he’s listed as probably, Doncic’s health and continued questions about G Kyrie Irving and his 1st-half scoring struggles for Dallas supports this play on Minnesota even more.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 207.5 (-110).
The Under has hit in 3 of Dallas’ last 4 overall and is 2-1 in its last 3 road games in these playoffs.
For Minnesota, the Under has hit in back-to-back games. The Under has also hit in each of the last 4 Minnesota-Dallas matchups and is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings, dating back to 2021.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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