UFC on ESPN 48: Strickland vs Magomedov 4-fight parlay at +382 odds

UFC on ESPN 48 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a middleweight fight between Sean Strickland and Abus Magomedov as the Main Event.

Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +382 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 48 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.

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Michael Morales ML over Max Griffin (-250)

Michael Morales comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-0. He is 3-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Adam Fugitt by KO/TKO back in July of 2022. Morales is averaging 5.36 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. He is absorbing 4.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling has looked elite thus far, averaging 1.98 takedowns per every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and his takedown defense is 86%.

Morales is a heavy favorite in this fight. However, he has the superior striking and grappling, therefore backing Morales will be our play.

Melissa Gatto ML over Ariane Lipski (-215)

Melissa Gatto comes into this fight with an MMA record of 8-1-2. She is 2-1 in the UFC, most recently losing Tracy Cortez by unanimous decision back in May of 2022. Gatto is averaging 3.27 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. She is absorbing 2.60 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 1.68 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 33% and her takedown defense is 70%.

Gatto is a huge favorite in this fight, so even though Ariane Lipski has the edge in striking, Gatto’s grappling ability looks to be the biggest difference. For that reason, backing Gatto to win will be our play.

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Ismael Bonfim vs Benoit Saint Denis – Fight to go the Distance – No (-165)

Ismael Bonfim is one of the bigger favorites on this card, so his money line looks too risky to back. This fight is more likely going to end by finish as Bonfim has seen 10 of his 11 fights end inside the distance, while Saint Denis has seen 16 of his 22 fights do the same. Because both fighters have very high finish rates, backing this fight to do the same will be our play.

Brunno Ferreira ML over Nursulton Ruziboev (-215)

Brunno Ferreira comes into this fight with an MMA record of 10-0. He is 2-0 in the UFC, most recently beating Gregory Rodrigues by KO/TKO back in January of this year. Ferreira is averaging 6.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. He is absorbing 5.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 49%. He has not shown any grappling ability so far, but has a takedown defense of 100%.

Ferreira is the clear favorite in this fight and given the fact that he is perfect in the UFC, he still looks to be the best play. Nursulton Ruziboev certainly has some impressive finishing stats, but stepping up to the UFC to fight Ferreira is a different level of competition. For that reason, backing Ferreira to win will be our play.

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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.