UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen picks with 4-fight parlay at +506 odds

UFC on ESPN 44 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri. This card features a featherweight fight between Max Holloway and Arnold Allen as the Main Event.

Here is our favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +506 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC on ESPN 44 predictions for all of the Main Card fights.

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Billy Quarantillo ML over Edson Barboza (-175)

Billy Quarantillo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-4. He is 6-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Alexander Hernandez by KO/TKO in December of 2022. Quarantillo is averaging 7.88 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. He is absorbing 5.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling is also good, averaging 1.55 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same time period. Quarantillo has a takedown accuracy of 24% and his takedown defense is 58%.

Quarantillo is a large favorite in this fight, but given his early success in the UFC, this is justified. Edson Barboza has had a ton of success in the UFC, as well, but is just 3-7 in last 10 UFC fights. Quarantillo has the advantage in both striking and grappling, therefore backing him to win will be our play.

Tanner Boser vs Ion Cutelaba – Over 1.5 rounds (-140)

This fight is pretty much evenly matched with Ion Cutelaba as a slight favorite. Both fighters have plenty of finishes in their career, but Tanner Boser has seen his last 5 of fights go over 1.5 rounds. Cutelaba has seen 2 of his last 5 fights go over 1.5 rounds, therefore backing the same here will be the play.

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Chris Gutierrez ML over Pedro Munhoz (-200)

Chris Gutierrez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-3-2. He is 7-1-1 in the UFC, most recently beating Frankie Edgar by KO/TKO in November of 2022. Gutierrez is averaging 4.70 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58%. He is absorbing 2.58 strikes and has a striking defense of 64%. His grappling is not as strong, though, averaging 0.44 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Gutierrez’s takedown accuracy is 37% and his takedown defense is 73%.

Gutierrez is a heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. He has 7 wins in his last 8 UFC fights (with 1 draw), while Pedro Munhoz is 1-4 in his last 5 UFC fights. Given the current form of both guys, backing Gutierrez to win will be my play.

Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia – Fight to go the distance – Yes (-200)

Rafa Garcia is the overwhelming favorite in the fight, but Clay Guida can never be counted out due to his veteran presence. Guida has seen 5 of his last 8 fights go the distance, while 7 of Garcia’s last 8 UFC fights have done the same. They both certainly have finishing ability, but backing this fight to go the distance is the way to play it.

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At Pickswise we provide free expert MMA picks and MMA Predictions for all of the top UFC Cards. Our UFC predictions and UFC picks include a pick and analysis for all of the Main Card fights.