MLB

NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction 10-17-24 MLB Picks

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1m ago

Oct 17, 2024 / 1460 Views

Evan Walker

LA Dodgers (103-67) vs. NY Mets (95-77)
October 17, 2024 8:08 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets +119 / LA Dodgers -141; Over/Under: +7
(Get latest betting odds)

The LA Dodgers and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB Game 4 of the NLCS at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Pick.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The LA Dodgers hope to take a 3-1 series lead to inch closer toward playing the Yankees or Guardians. The Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 games. The LA Dodgers have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 13 games. The LA Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Tommy Edman leads the LA Dodgers with 9 hits and 5 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Enrique Hernandez have combined for 14 hits and 4 RBI.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets need a win to even up the series and have a real shot of advancing. The Mets have been shutout twice in this series. The New York Mets have scored 7 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 Games. The New York Mets have won 8 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Mark Vientos leads the New York Mets with 15 hits and 11 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Jose Iglesias have combined for 17 hits and 10 RBI.

NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Pitching Pick Matchup

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 7-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 1-0 with a 5.63 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his postseason career. This will be Yamamoto’s second career Game against the New York Mets.

Jose Quintana gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 10-10 with a 3.75 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. Quintana is 0-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his postseason career. Quintana is 3-2 with a 2.04 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Mets have won each of their last eight games following a home loss.
The Dodgers have lost each of their last four playoff games as favorites after playing the previous day.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a loss.
The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night playoff games against NL East opponents following a win.
The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last nine playoff games as favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
J.D. Martinez has recorded an RBI in four of the Mets’ last five games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last 14 Thursday appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances in night games.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 13 of the Mets’ last 14 games as underdogs.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against NL West opponents.
Harrison Bader has hit a home run in four of his last six playoff appearances after playing the previous day.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four road games against NL East opponents.
Enrique Hernandez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
Shohei Ohtani has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight road games.
Miguel Rojas has recorded an RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL East opponents.
Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL opponents.
Miguel Rojas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Dodgers as road favorites against NL opponents.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (54) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (586).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.446).
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (842).

NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction

Again, the LA Dodgers are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re the Dodgers and there is concern with the Mets being shutout twice in this series. However, the Mets have been a team of destiny all year, so it’s only right to predict a bounce back. We saw it in Game 2 after a shutout loss, they jumped on the Dodgers and never looked back. Also, Quintana has been ridiculous as of late, as he’s not only pitched 11 shutout postseason innings, but he’s allowed just 2 earned runs in his last 36 innings overall. I like the Mets to get back in this series right when folks are counting them out yet again.