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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction 11-17-24 NBA Picks

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Miami Heat (5-6) vs. Indiana Pacers (5-7)
November 17, 2024 5:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers -2.5; Over/Under: +228.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Pistons, beat the Pacers, and they play the Mavericks and 76ers next. The Miami Heat are averaging 111.5 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 111.2 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 24.5 points and 5 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.6 points and 9.3 rebounds. Jimmy Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per Game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Magic and Heat, and they play the Rockets and Raptors next. The Indiana Pacers are averaging 113.9 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 117.3 points on 47 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 19.9 points and 6.4 rebounds, while Benedict Mathurin is averaging 18.8 points and 6.4 rebounds. Tyrese Haliburton is the third double-digit scorer and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per Game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Pacers.
  • The Pacers have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs against the Pacers.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Pacers’ last seven games as favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat’s last four road games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Miami Heat just beat the Pacers on Friday, and now there’s a chance they’ll be completely Healthy, as Butler has been upgraded to questionable. The Indiana Pacers have been hit or miss all season, and their defense still isn’t good. The underdog has covered 8 of the last 10 Games between the Heat and Pacers. Six of those eight covers were outright wins for the underdog. With the Heat likely at full strength, I have to go back to the Heat and grab the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Heat +2.5

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