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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 5-24-24 Picks

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Dallas Mavericks (59-36) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (64-30)
May 24, 2024 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -5; Over/Under: 207
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Friday in Game 2 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Target Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have won 5 of their last 6 Games and look to take a 2-0 series lead. The Mavs are 5-2 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 103.3 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 27.7 points and 9 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.8 points and 4.1 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 71.1 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per Game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost 4 of their last 6 games and need a win to even up the series at 1-1. The Timberwolves are 3-3 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.1 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 100.3 points on 46 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.1 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 18.6 points and 2.8 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.5 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Timberwolves will continue to be without Jaylen Clark, who hasn’t played since November due to an Achilles injury. The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. There’s no new injuries for either team.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last 12 night games against the Timberwolves following a road win.
  • The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four playoff games as home favorites.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine playoff road games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Rudy Gobert ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (12.9) this season.
  • Mike Conley ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.2%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Luka Doncic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (33.9) this season.
  • Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (72.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (106.5).
  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (45.0%).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.5).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves are going to get a lot of action because people refuse to believe they’re going to lose twice at home. This is pretty much a must win for the Timberwolves if they want a real chance to make the NBA Finals, as you can’t drop the first two Games at home and free great. With that said, the Timberwolves have lost 4 of their last 6 playoff Games overall, and they’re 3-3 SU at home in these playoffs. The Mavs have won 5 of their 7 road playoff Games.

As I’ve said countless times throughout these playoffs, the Mavericks are in good hands if Luka and Kyrie are going to be Luka and Kyrie. Those two scored or assisted on 81 percent of the Mavericks points in their Game 1 victory. When those two are clicking like the superstars they are, they’re tough to beat regardless of where the Game is played. The Mavericks have won and covered 5 of their last 7 Games as underdogs. Give me the points with the Mavs in Game 2 against the Timberwolves.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5

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