NFL
Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction 9-5-24 NFL Picks
Baltimore Ravens (0-0) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (0-0)
September 5, 2024 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -3; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs meet Thursday in NFL week 1 action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Pick.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens have made the playoffs in five of the last six years and enter year 17 under coach John Harbaugh. The Ravens have won double-digit Games in nine of the last 14 years. The Ravens are a Super Bowl contender yet again as long as quarterback Lamar Jackson is on the field, now a two-time MVP at 27 years old. The addition of running back Derrick Henry adds some thunder to the Raven’s speedy offense. There are questions with the Ravens offensive line as John Simpson, Kevin Zeitler and Morgan Moses are gone, but Jackson under center masks a lot of issues.
Defensively, the Ravens lost some recognizable names, but guys like Odafe Oweh, Kyle Van Not and Roquan Smith can fill in those shoes. Linebacker Chris Board comes over from New England and should see an expanded role. You can argue the Ravens have one of the best front sevens in the NFL, even with players like Jadeveon Clowney and Patrick Queen no longer around. Most books have the Ravens as a top-three contender to win the Super Bowl entering the season.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs are the cream of the crop in the NFL, as they’ve made the playoffs every year since 2015 and have won 3 of the last 5 super bowls. With the duo of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes, the Chiefs are the favorites to win the title again. Offensively, the Chiefs have offensive line concerns and had major receiver drops last season, but the drafting of receiver Xavier Worthy should help. Worthy brings the speed to the table that was lost with the moving on of Tyreek Hill. As long as Mahomes is under center, the Chiefs will figure things out offensively. We saw it last year when the KC offense was often out of sorts and was a frustrating watch.
Defensively, the loss of cornerback L’Jarius Sneed hurts, as he was typically the guy lining up against the opposing team’s best receivers. With Aaron Donald retiring, you can argue the Chiefs have the best defensive tackle in the league in Chris Jones. George Karlaftis had a breakout sophomore season with 10.5 sacks and 3 pass deflections. The Chiefs have formed one of the best QB – head coach duos in NFL History, and they’re a threat as long as that remains intact.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Chiefs’ last five games.
- The Chiefs have lost each of their last two games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- The road team has covered the spread in 12 of the Chiefs’ last 13 Week 1 games.
- The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven September games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 14 Week 1 games.
- The Ravens have won the first quarter in each of their last eight Week 1 games.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last eight Week 1 games against AFC opponents.
Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts
- Isiah Pacheco has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
- Travis Kelce has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six games against the Ravens.
- Patrick Mahomes has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chiefs’ last eight home games in September.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 231+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 September appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six September home games.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six September home games.
- Isiah Pacheco has scored the last touchdown in each of the Chiefs’ last three games against AFC opponents.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 24+ completions in nine of his last 10 September appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Harrison Butker recorded the equal-most made field goals in a single game last season (6 vs Bengals, Week 17).
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Lamar Jackson has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of the Ravens’ last five Week 1 games.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 237+ passing yards in four of his last five regular season appearances with the Ravens as road underdogs.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 95+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last four regular season appearances with the Ravens as underdogs.
- Isaiah Likely has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last six regular season games.
- Lamar Jackson ranked 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Carry (5.5) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Chiefs ranked 32nd in the NFL in Q4 points per game (3.4) last season.
- The Chiefs ranked 1st in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (7.4) last season.
- The Ravens ranked 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (16.5) last season.
- The Ravens ranked 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (156.5) last season.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction
The Kansas City Chiefs are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re the defending champs at home. It’s also hard to bet against Mahomes. With that said, the Baltimore Ravens are a title contender on paper, and you’re not going to get them as an underdog often this season. The Ravens are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 Games as an underdog. The Chiefs still have wide receiver questions, especially with Marquise Brown banged up. The Raven’s physical defense is likely going to give the Chiefs issues. Lamar Jackson has won 8 of his last 11 regular season road Games. Again, you won’t get this position with the Ravens many times this season. Give me the points.
Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens +3
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