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Boise State vs Utah State Prediction 10-5-24 College Football Picks

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Utah State Aggies (1-3) vs. Boise State Broncos (3-1)
October 5, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Boise State Broncos -26.5 / Utah State Aggies +26.5; Over/Under: +62.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah State Aggies and the Boise State Broncos meet in week 6 college Football action from Albertsons Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Utah State vs. Boise State prediction.

Utah State Recap

The Utah State Aggies come into this one looking to snap a three-Game losing streak after ending up at 1-3 on the year with a 45-29 loss to Temple last time out. After this Game, Utah State will return home for a matchup with UNLV.

Aggies Looking For Answers Defensively

Bryson Barnes has thrown for 524 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 INTs on 57% passing while Spencer Petras has thrown for 438 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 61% passing. Rahsul Faison leads the Aggies with 395 rushing yards while Jalen Royals leads the Aggies’ receiving group with 25 catches for 280 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kyrese White also has 242 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while two more Aggies have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jordan Vincent has a team-high 43 total tackles including 23 solo tackles while the Aggies’ defense as a whole has combined for 4 sacks and 2 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Utah State has won three of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in five of Utah State’s last six games.

Boise State Recap

The Boise State Broncos come into this one looking to build on back-to-back wins after a 45-24 win over Washington State last time out to improve to 3-1 on the year. After this Game, Boise State will head out to take on Hawaii on the island.

Broncos Riding Jeanty Wave

Maddux Madsen has thrown for 800 yards, 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 58.2% passing while Ashton Jeanty leads the Broncos on the ground with 845 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns this season. Cameron Camper has a team-high 271 receiving yards along with 3 TDs and 13 receptions while Matt Lauter has a team-high 14 grabs for 210 yards and 3 scores. Latrell Caples also has 11 receptions for 142 yards on the year. On defense, Ty Benefield has a team-high 29 total tackles including 21 solo tackles while Ahmed Hassanein has a team-high 4 sacks. As a unit, Boise State’s defense has combined for 20 sacks and an interception so far this season.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • Boise State has won each of its last eight games against Utah State.
  • Utah State has lost each of its last seven games at Albertsons Stadium.
  • Utah State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight road games in October.
  • Boise State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against Utah State.

Utah State vs. Boise State Prediction

I’m on Boise State here. I get why the line feels hefty, but Boise State just ran it up on a really solid Washington State team and while some could consider a letdown here before going to play Hawaii on the road, I think Boise State’s too focused to let this one slip. The Broncos have a legitimate chance to be the team that represents the Group of 5 in the college football playoff if they can keep it rolling, and I don’t think that Utah State is the team I want to ride to try to step in front of this runaway Boise State train. Give me the Broncos.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Boise State -26.5

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