The Jacksonville Jaguars look to bounce back in the 2024 season after posting a 9-8 record last season and missing the playoffs by 1 game. A major reason for the team’s struggles was a late-season injury to QB Trevor Lawrence.
It was tale of 2 seasons, as Jacksonville opened 8-3, and it appeared to be a team on track for a potential championship. But Lawrence suffered a shoulder injury in a Week 13 Sunday night game against the Cincinnati Bengals, and that started the downward spiral.
Lawrence tried his best to soldier on, playing through his injury, but the team managed just a single win in the final 6 games, missing out on a playoff spot to the surprising Houston Texans.
With Lawrence back to health in 2024, the Jaguars are dreaming big again. The team added free-agent WR Gabe Davis from the Buffalo Bills, they retooled the offensive line by signing C Mitch Morse and bringing back OG Ezra Cleveland, and WR/KR Devin Duvernay was brought in for receiver depth while spicing up the special teams.
Below, we look at the Jacksonville Jaguars’ 2024 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.
2024 Jacksonville Jaguars schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET; *-At London | |||
| 1 | Sept. 8 | at Dolphins | 1 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 15 | vs. Browns | 1 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 23 (M) | at Bills | 7:30 p.m. |
| 4 | Sept. 29 | at Texans | 1 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 6 | vs. Colts | 1 p.m. |
| 6 | Oct. 13 | vs. Bears-* | 9:30 a.m. |
| 7 | Oct. 20 | vs. Patriots-* | 9:30 a.m. |
| 8 | Oct. 27 | vs. Packers | 1 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 3 | at Eagles | 8:20 p.m. |
| 10 | Nov. 10 | vs. Vikings | 1 p.m. |
| 11 | Nov. 17 | at Lions | 1 p.m. |
| 12 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 13 | Dec. 1 | vs. Texans | 1 p.m. |
| 14 | Dec. 8 | at Titans | 1 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 15 | vs. Jets | 1 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 22 | at Raiders | 4:25 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 29 | vs. Titans | 1 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 4 or 5 | at Colts | TBD |
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Jaguars over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 28 at 6:21 a.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 8.5 wins: (Over: -115 | Under: -105)
According to the Sharp Football Analysis, which based its calculations off the Vegas Forecasted Win Totals, the Jaguars have the 14th-easiest schedule in the NFL. Their implied line of 8.65 wins is similar to the projections at most sportsbooks.
The Jaguars got off to a tremendous start last season, winning 8 games before the holidays, but an injury to Lawrence knocked Jacksonville off course. The schedule is a lot easier than the division rival Indianapolis Colts, and the Jaguars are going to be right there if the Texans knuckle under to the expectations as a favorite in the AFC South.
Jacksonville could get off to a tough start, as it faces trips to Miami, Buffalo and Houston in the first 4 weekends, and a home date with Cleveland is no bargain, either. And while the schedule lightens up a little in October, the team has back-to-back games overseas. Of course, if any organization is used to Europe games, it’s the Jags.
The Jags also have trips to visit the NFC contenders Detroit Lions and Philadelphia Eagles in November, before things get a lot easier in December.
This could be the opposite of how things set up last season for Jacksonville. After a hot start, the team fizzled down the stretch. In 2024, Jacksonville could start slow, before catching fire around the holidays.
OVER 8.5 WINS (-115) is a good play, as 9 or 10 victories certainly seems within reach, especially if the team surprises a contender or 2 in the early-portion of the schedule.
Jaguars Super Bowl odds
- +4500 (bet $100 to win $4,500)
The sportsbooks have the Jaguars listed with the 9th-longest odds among AFC teams to win the Super Bowl. In other words, the books consider Jacksonville to be a borderline playoff team in the conference, not really a strong championship contender.
The addition of Davis to the receiver corps is a nice addition, joining Christian Kirk for a solid 1-2 punch. But things fall off precipitously after that, so if Davis or Kirk were to suffer an extended injury, that could be problematic unless somebody unexpectedly steps up.
The tailback situation is in good shape, as is the tight end spot, and the offensive line was bolstered in the offseason.
On defense, DT Arik Armstead, CB Ronald Darby and S Darnell Savage are nice additions in new defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen’s system. But, this defense was pretty bad last season, allowing 239.8 yards per game through the air. Defense is what will hold this team from accomplishing big things, such as a Super Bowl run.
The San Francisco 49ers (+550) are the favorites, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs (+600) and Baltimore Ravens (+950).
At +4500, Jacksonville has an implied probability of winning the Super Bowl of just 2.17% or 45/1 fractional odds.
The Carolina Panthers have the longest odds in the NFL at +30000, while the New England Patriots have the longest odds in the AFC at +18000, with the Denver Broncos and Washington Commanders not far behind at +15000, and the division rival Tennessee Titans next at +13000.
PASS, as Jacksonville could be a playoff team. It could very well top out at 9-10 wins. But it isn’t a Super Bowl contender.
Will Jaguars make the playoffs?
- Yes +122 | No -150
The Jaguars are in a difficult division, with 3 teams capable of winning the AFC South. In fact, a division title, similar to the one they had in 2022, is likely the easiest path to the postseason field in a rough and tumble conference.
The Jaguars are likely to get off to a very difficult start, and they’re unlikely to start climbing up the standings until the leaves have started changing up north.
Jacksonville has the look of a team capable of 9-10 wins, especially if it can surprise as an underdog once or twice during a brutal September schedule. Once the team heads overseas, that’s when the Jaguars will make some hay.
Health is super important, too, as Lawrence suffered an injury, and still was able to play on, and that knocked the entire team off kilter. While everybody suffers injuries, Jacksonville doesn’t have very good depth, especially at the skill positions.
While the defense is a work in progress, it should be much better. The lean is to YES (+122) at plus-money to make the postseason, but again, it might take leapfrogging the defensive division champ Texans to get it done.
Odds to win AFC South Division
- Texans +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Jaguars +270 (bet $100 to win $270)
- Colts +330 (bet $100 to win $330)
- Titans +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
Jacksonville’s implied probability of winning the AFC South is 27.03% or 27/10 fractional odds. The Texans are listed as the favorites to win this division, but Houston got it done by just a single game over Indianapolis and Jacksonville last season. It won’t take much for the Jaguars to flip things back in their favor.
There’s a reason Houston is the favorite, as they have an exciting offense, led by QB C.J. Stroud. But Lawrence is no slouch, and he should make beautiful music with Davis, who returns to the Sunshine State, where he starred with UCF in college.
The JAGUARS +270 are a good bet to win this division. It isn’t like the Texans are the Chiefs or 49ers, teams entering the season as heavy favorites. Houston is beatable, and Jacksonville is a value for a chance to nearly triple up.
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Jaguars odds to win AFC
- +2100 (bet $100 to win $2,100)
Well, the Jaguars have never made the Super Bowl, so a trip to the big game would be historic. But, it’s not going to happen in 2024.
Again, this Jacksonville team is led by a solid signal caller, and Davis was a nice add to pair with Kirk and TE Evan Engram. RB Travis Etienne needs to be better in the backfield, as Jacksonville struggled to run the ball last season.
But, it all boils down to a defense which needs to be much, much better. It was subpar last season, struggling against the pass. It appears to have shored things up a little with some serviceable veterans, but nothing screams championship D and major turnaround.
PASS.
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