Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-28-24 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB action from Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Nationals vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Philadelphia took on the Chicago Cubs this week. The Phillies lost 10-4 Tuesday but won the other two Games. On Friday versus Washington, Philly took a blowout loss 9-1.

In the starter slot Saturday it’ll be Zack Wheeler. This year Wheeler is 16-7 with a 2.56 ERA in 31 starts. Wheeler is 103-70 with a 3.34 ERA in 258 career Games.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

Over on the Nationals’ side, they played the Kanas City Royals in their last series. Washington lost all three of those games 1-0, 3-0 and 7-4. In Friday’s game the Nats cruised to the win on 16 team hits.

MacKenzie Gore will start for the Nationals on Saturday. This year Gore is 10-12 with a 4.04 ERA in 31 starts. Gore is 21-26 with a 4.27 ERA in 74 Games (71 starts) over his career.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Nationals’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six day games between the Phillies and Nationals at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Phillies.
• Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five home appearances.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against the Nationals.
• J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Saturday day appearances.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Saturday day appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last eight day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last six Saturday appearances.

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I might take a shot on the Nats here. Gore is pitching well over his last pair. In those two he’s a combined 2-0 with just one earned run in 13.0 innings. As for Wheeler, he’s 2-1 in his last three starts with five earned runs in 20.0 total frames. It’ll be a good starter matchup if both guys are on point.

On Friday the Nationals posted six runs in the first two innings and didn’t have much trouble from there. Starter Trevor Williams finished with 5.0 innings, three hits, two walks and five Ks. With a nice start from Gore, Washington should have a decent shot Saturday.