MLB

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-14-24 MLB Picks

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2m ago

Sep 14, 2024 / 4014 Views

Evan Walker

Miami Marlins (55-92) vs. Washington Nationals (65-81)
September 14, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -135 / Miami Marlins +115; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB Game 3 action at Nationals Park. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 55-93 on the year after playing the Phillies and Pirates. The Miami Marlins have scored 8 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Miami Marlins have won 4 of their last 5 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 117 hits and 61 RBI, while Jesus Sanchez and Otto Lopez have combined for 198 hits and 92 RBI.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 66-81 on the year after playing the Pirates and Braves. The Washington Nationals have scored 12 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Washington Nationals have won 4 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Luis Garcia Jr. leads the Washington Nationals with 129 hits and 64 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Jacob Young have combined for 236 hits and 100 RBI.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Pick Matchup

Valente Bellozo gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Bellozo has allowed 9 hits and 1 earned run in his last 11.1 innings. Bellozo has a 3.13 ERA and .231 allowed batting average in 31.2 road innings. This will be Bellozo’s second career Game against the Washington Nationals.

Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 5-13 with a 5.60 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. Corbin has allowed 17 hits and 9 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Corbin has a 4.63 ERA and .251 allowed batting average in 79.2 home innings. Corbin is 6-7 with a 4.17 ERA and 117 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Nationals have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Patrick Corbin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Patrick Corbin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
Joey Gallo has hit at least one home run in four of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in 13 of the Nationals’ last 14 games against the Marlins.
CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Jake Burger has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents.
Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Otto Lopez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents.
Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in 11 of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in five of the Marlins’ last six day games.
Otto Lopez has recorded two or more total bases in four of his five previous appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Valente Bellozo doesn’t have the sample size to completely trust, especially on the road, but he’s been sharp over his last 11.1 innings. Patrick Corbin has been one of the worst pitchers in all of baseball the last few years, and I’ve been fading him blindly every chance. Since 2021, Corbin has a 5.71 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, along with a 30-63 record. Its brutal folks. Getting plus money to fade Corbin? Sign me up. Give me the Marlins at the more favorable price.