The Milwaukee Bucks (8-9) lock up in NBA Cup group play against the Miami Heat (7-7) Tuesday at Kaseya Center. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Bucks vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Bucks won 2-1 last season
The Bucks have won 4 straight after a 125-119 W over the Charlotte Hornets Saturday. They failed to cover as 8-point favorites. F Giannis Antetokounmpo had 32 points, 11 boards and 6 assists while G Damian Lillard added 31 points. After a rough start, they’ve now won 7 of 10.
The Heat held off the Dallas Mavericks Sunday in a 123-118 victory, covering as 2.5-point favorites. F Jimmy Butler had 33 points, 9 boards and 6 assists. C Bam Adebayo added 19 points and 11 boards while shooting 3-for-6 from distance. Miami has won 4 of 6.
Bucks at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bucks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Heat -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Bucks +2.5 (-115) | Heat -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Bucks at Heat key injuries
Bucks
- F Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) probable
- F Khris Middleton (ankle) out
- F Taurean Prince (illness) probable
Heat
- G Terry Rozier (foot) probable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Bucks at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Bucks 122, Heat 117
Moneyline
Here’s the tale of the tape for me. The Heat are the deeper team, but the Bucks have the high-end talent. What happens if Antetokounmpo gets Adebayo into foul trouble in the paint? The Heat will have to rely on outside shooting and fold.
This is a tight matchup, and I don’t like either side of the spread. I’ll take the value with the BUCKS +115 because this matchup is closer than Heat -140 would indicate.
Against the spread
As mentioned, I don’t like either side here at 2.5 points. I will take a chance on JIMMY BUTLER OVER 1.5 BLOCKS+STEALS (+115). His 0.5 steals line is set at -250, and I look for him to be on Lillard a lot and contest shots.
Over/Under
The Heat have gone Over in 3 of 4, and the Bucks went Over in 2 straight. The Over has cashed in 4 of the last 5 meetings between the squads.
Take the OVER 225.5 (-115).
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