RB Leipzig (0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) welcomes Liverpool (2-0-0) to Red Bull Arena Wednesday for the 3rd of 8 matchdays in the UEFA Champions League group stage. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Liverpool sits atop the English Premier League after taking down Chelsea 2-1 at home Sunday. The Reds have allowed just 3 goals through their 8 EPL matches and have a 7-0-1 including a 3-0-1 showing at home. F Mohamed Salah leads Liverpool with a team-high 10 goals and assists — 5 apiece. In UEFA competition, Liverpool beat Milan 3-1 on the road Sept. 17 and beat Bologna 2-0 at home Oct. 2.
Leipzig hasn’t faired well in UEFA competition but has dominated the Bundesliga — it is tied with Bayern Munich for 1st place with 17 points. Leipzig is 5-2-0 in Bundesliga play with a 9-plus goal differential, having allowed just 2 goals. F Lois Openda leads Leipzig with a team-high 4 goals. In UEFA action, Leipzig has struggled, losing 2-1 on the road to Atletico Madrid Sept. 19 and 3-2 at home to Juventus Oct. 2. Leipzig is coming off a 2-0 road win over Mainz 05 Saturday.
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RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:43 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: RB Leipzig +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Liverpool -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool picks and predictions
Prediction
Liverpool 2, RB Leipzig 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET LIVERPOOL (-115).
Looking at how Liverpool has played on the road, both in EPL action and in UEFA action, it is a perfect 5-0-0. In Champions League play it has had at least double the expected goals of its opponent throughout both matches as well.
Leipzig (+270) hasn’t faired well at home but is 0-0-2 against UEFA competition, and this should be a higher level than it has played this season. Expect Liverpool to come out on top against a Leipzig side that has struggled against top competition.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER ALTERNATE 2.5 (+145).
Both teams have exceeded expectations defensively during their respective league play. RB Leipzig has a tough test on its hands with a talented Liverpool attack, but regardless of the caliber of the opponent, Leipzig has impressively held its foes to 2 goals in 7 Bundesliga matches. It has gone Under this total in 2 straight games and in 3 of its last 5.
Liverpool has allowed just 3 goals in 8 league games and is 1-1 O/U this total in Champions League matches. The Reds have allowed a combined 1.0 expected goals in both matches though, so they have consistently limited opponent opportunities.
That said, back UNDER ALTERNATE 2.5 (+145).
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