Liverpool (3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) welcome Bayer Leverkusen (2-1-0) to Anfield Tuesday for a UEFA Champions League battle. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (Paramount+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Liverpool vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Liverpool, which currently sits atop the English Premier League, has beaten 10 of its last 11 opponents and is coming off a 2-1 home win over Brighton Saturday. The Reds are undefeated in Champions League play, having wins over Bologna, RB Leipzig, and AC Milan. They have a +5 goal differential through those 3 games and are +13 in 10 EPL matches. Liverpool is led by F Mohamed Salah, who has 7 goals in league play.
Bayer Leverkusen sits 4th in the Bundesliga, the top league in Germany. Bayer games have featured a lofty amount of goals as they average 2.22 per game and allow 1.67 per game, having scored 20 and allowed 15 in 9 Bundesliga matches. They are coming off a 0-0 draw with Stuttgart Friday. Leverkusen has a +5 goal differential in 3 Champions League matches, having beaten AC Milan and Feyenoord and having drawn Brest. It is led by F Victor Boniface, who has 6 goals in 9 league matches.
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Liverpool vs. Bayer Leverkusen odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Monday at 11:54 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Liverpool -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Bayer Leverkusen +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +120 | U: -165)
Liverpool vs. Bayer Leverkusen picks and predictions
Prediction
Liverpool 2, Bayer Leverkusen 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET LIVERPOOL (-140).
Liverpool is averaging 1.90 goals per game in EPL play, but unlike Bayer, it has been able to keep its backline formidable, allowing just 0.6. It has been virtually unbeatable at home, having won 4 of 5 EPL matches and having won their lone home Champions League match by multiple goals. It has allowed just 1 goal in those 3 Champions League matches.
Leverkusen is 2-2-0 on the road, but its competition in the Bundesliga isn’t as competitive as a match against Liverpool will be. Bayer has drawn 3 of its last 4 games in all competitions and have a 1-1 draw against Bayern Munich, a game that may resemble this one. In that match, they had 1.3 fewer expected goals.
Expect Liverpool to take care of business at home, and at this value, feel free to back LIVERPOOL (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-165).
Neither team has really shown its offensive prowess consistently in the Champions League. Bayer has scored 6 goals and allowed just 1, but 4 of those goals came against Feyenoord in their first Champions League action. They had just 1.7 expected goals as well, so they made the most of their attempts. Against Liverpool, that’ll be tougher to do. Bayer has gone Under even 2.5 in 2 of those 3 matches.
Liverpool has gone Under 2.5 in 2 of 3 as well, and it has one of the best defenses in the world. The Reds’ defense has been strong this season and has 7 clean sheets in 15 matches in all competitions, and they have allowed more than 1 goal just twice.
Expect the consistent low-scoring Champions League battles to continue and, despite the slightly expensive value, back UNDER 3.5 (-165).
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