Arsenal (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) welcomes Liverpool (7-0-1) to Emirates Stadium Sunday for a clash of top English Premier League sides. Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds, and make our best EPL bets, picks and predictions.
Liverpool entered the weekend as the top side in the EPL and has the league’s best defense, having allowed just 3 goals through 8 matches. The Reds have a +12 goal differential, having netted 15. They are a perfect 4-0-0 on the road. Liverpool’s last match was a 1-0 road win over RB Leipzig in the Champions League Wednesday. Its last league match was a 2-1 home win over Chelsea Sunday.
Arsenal, which is 3-1-0 at home, sat 3rd in the EPL coming into the weekend. The Gunners are led by F Kai Havertz, who has netted 4 goals in 8 starts. They also have a strong defense, having allowed 8 goals in 8 matches. Arsenal has scored 15 for a +7 goal differential. It is coming off a 1-0 Champions League win Tuesday over Shakhtar. Arsenal has won its last 5 home games throughout all competitions.
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Arsenal vs. Liverpool odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:40 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Arsenal +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Liverpool +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Draw +230
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -120 | U: -120)
Arsenal vs. Liverpool picks and predictions
Prediction
Liverpool 1, Arsenal 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+230).
Liverpool played a close home game with Chelsea last week and only won that game due to having a penalty kick goal called against the Blues. The Reds haven’t played many top-tier teams in the league, and this will be their first true road test, coming off 2 competitive games in the last week.
Arsenal has played well at home and has acquired a point in every home match this season. The Gunners also have a more impressive resume so far, having beaten PSG at home and having taken down Tottenham on the road. They should be able to keep this game close. One of the 2 league matches between these teams last season was a 1-1 draw as well.
For the value, back DRAW (+230).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-120).
Both defenses are among the best in the league with Liverpool having given up just 0.38 goals per game this season. While it has scored 1.88 goals per game, Arsenal is allowing just 1.00 as well and has a competent backline. Liverpool has had 2.0 or fewer expected goals in 5 of 8 league matches so far this season.
Arsenal, which has just 1 player with more than 2 goals, has had 0.7 or fewer expected goals in 2 of its last 4 games throughout all competitions. It isn’t quite as strong offensively but does have a sturdy defense. Combine it all and back UNDER 2.5 (-120).
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