The Philadelphia Phillies (94-65) visit the Washington Nationals (69-90) Friday to open a 3-game series. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Phillies vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 8-2
Philadelphia beat the Chicago Cubs 9-6 Wednesday while covering as a -213 home favorite. The Phillies are locked into a tight battle with the LA Dodgers for the top seed in the NL playoff with Philadelphia a half-game back.
Washington lost 7-4 to the Kansas City Royals Thursday as a +150 home underdog. The Nationals have lost 9 of their last 10 games.
Phillies at Nationals projected starters
LHP Ranger Suarez vs. RHP Trevor Williams
Suarez (12-7, 3.15 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 6-3 loss at the New York Mets Saturday
- Career vs. Washington: 7-1, 3.64 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 8 appearances (1 start)
Williams (5-1, 2.19 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 61 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 7 K in a 3-1 outing vs. the Chicago Cubs Friday
- Career vs. Philadelphia: 2-4, 5.29 ERA (49 1/3 IP, 29 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 11 appearances (9 starts)
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Phillies at Nationals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:08 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -125)
Phillies at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Nationals 2
Moneyline
PASS.
The Phillies will pick up the win as -185 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites.
While I do recommend passing here and betting on the spread and/or total instead, because I expect the Phillies to win by such a Healthy margin, it is okay if you choose to divvy up units between this bet and the spread.
Run line/Against the spread
BET PHILLIES -1.5 (-110).
Philadelphia has dominated Washington winning 8 of 10 meetings and only allowing the Nationals to finish within 1 run in 2 of those 8 wins.
The Nationals are also only 1-9 in their last 10 overall and have only finished within 1 run of their opponent in 3 of those 9 losses.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-125).
The Under has hit in 5 of Washington’s last 6 Games and is 2-1 in its last 3 at home. The Under has also hit in each of the last 3 Philadelphia-Washington meetings in the Nation’s Capital.
This is a lean because the Over is 5-3-2 in Philly’s last 10 overall.
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