NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 11-17-24 NBA Picks

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13s ago

Nov 17, 2024 / 7374 Views

Evan Walker

Dallas Mavericks (5-7) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (11-2)
November 17, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5; Over/Under: +231
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks travel to the Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday night. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks have been in a rut as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall, but they will be feeling much better after they put an end to a four-game skid with a 110-93 win over the Spurs last night. Kyrie Irving led the team with 22 points, eight rebounds and six assists, Luka Doncic added 16 points with six assists while Daniel Gafford chipped in with 22 points, seven rebounds and three blocks off the bench. As a team, the Mavericks shot 46 percent from the field and eight of 31 from the 3-point line, but this win was more about their defense as they held the Spurs to just 31 percent shooting from the field and they were always in control after holding the Spurs to just 18 points in the third quarter.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on fire as they’ve won 11 of their first 13 games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after blowing past the depleted Suns in a 99-83 home win on Friday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 28 points, six rebounds and four assists, Luguentz Dort added 15 points with nine rebounds while Jalen Williams chipped in with 14 points, eight rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Thunder shot just 39 percent from the field and 10 of 40 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Suns from the start, dominating the first quarter by 29-14, before the Thunder poured in 35 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 25 points.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

The Thunder have won each of their last 20 games at Paycom Center against teams that held a losing record.
The Mavericks have lost each of their last 10 night games at Paycom Center following a home win.
The Thunder have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games following a win.

Total Points Facts

Six of the Mavericks’ last seven night games at Paycom Center following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
Five of the Thunder’s last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks are just about at full health except for Dante Exum who is still out, while the Thunder are still missing Alex Caruso and Chet Holmgren to name a few. The Mavericks have yet to hit their stride and they didn’t look good during their four-game losing streak, but they are coming into this meeting fresh off a big win that they needed badly. The Thunder have been in red-hot form, their defense has been elite and their last game was at home on Friday, while the Mavericks are travelling on zero days’ rest. The line isn’t too hefty for this one, so I am comfortable going with the Thunder to stay hot with another win and cover at home.