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MLB picks 7/30: YRFI & NRFI best bets today | Pickswise

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The week in Major League Baseball wraps up on Sunday with a full 15-game slate. It begins with the Blue Jays hosting the Angels at 12:05 pm ET on Peacock and concludes with the Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Week between the Yankees and Orioles. From those 2 contests and everything in between, there is plenty to work with in an effort to come up with some successful YRFI/NRFI bets.

The YRFI/NRFI market has become extremely popular in baseball betting. After all, you don’t have to sit around for 3 hours (or maybe a lot less now that Games are not as long on average!) to see if your wager hits; the satisfaction (or in some cases disappointment) is immediate. It all comes down to the first inning.

Here are my favorite YRFI/NRFI plays for Saturday, and also be sure to check out all of our MLB picks.

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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox: YRFI (-122)

Both Cleveland and Chicago should have good chance to punch across at least 1 run in the first inning on Sunday. The Game will begin with Michael Kopech of the White Sox on the mound and he is 4-9 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Kopech is saddled with a ridiculous 7.15 ERA through 3 July appearances, including 1 in which he allowed 4 runs to the Braves in the first inning. Granted, that’s the Braves; but still….

The Guardians are countering with Aaron Civale, which at first glance is good news for the visitors because he is sporting a 2.54 ERA and 1.06 ERA this season. However, the top of Chicago’s lineup absolutely owns Civale. Tim Anderson is 7-for-18 lifetime, Yoan Moncada is also 7-for-18, Luis Robert is 5-for-14 and Eloy Jimenez is 5-for-13. Those are batting averages of .389, .389, .357 and .385. Anderson has homered off Civale 3 times in 18 at-bats and Jimenez has gone deep twice in 13 ABs. Give me the YRFI.

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Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks: NRFI (-128)

This should be a stellar pitching matchup between Seattle’s Luis Castillo and Arizona’s Merrill Kelly. Castillo comes in with a 3.02 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. The 30-year-old righty has surrendered a first-inning run in just 1 of his last 4 starts. Kelly is 9-4 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. The 34-year-old right-hander recently missed a month of action, but he returned on Tuesday and promptly limited St. Louis to 1 run in 6.0 innings of work. Kelly has given up a first-inning run only once in his last 10 appearances.

Nobody in the Mariners’ lineup has gotten more than 2 hits all time off Kelly and no one on the Diamondbacks other than Ketel Marte has gotten more than 1 hit off Castillo. Marte is 3-for-17 in his career in this matchup, so there is no concern in that department. I’m counting on both of these pitchers to get off to fast starts.

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