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Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9-6-24 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (76-64) vs. Kansas City Royals (76-65)
September 6, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals -137 / Minnesota Twins +116; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals meet Friday in MLB Game 1 action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction. This article will include a Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 76-64 on the year after playing the Blue Jays and Rays. The Minnesota Twins have scored 9 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 Games. The Minnesota Twins have split their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 124 hits and 52 RBI, while Jose Miranda and Carlos Santana have combined for 217 hits and 108 RBI.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 76-65 on the year after playing the Astros and Guardians. The Kansas City Royals have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Kansas City Royals have lost 8 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 190 hits and 97 RBI, while Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 270 hits and 191 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Pick Matchup

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 1-2 with a 7.41 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Matthews has allowed 23 hits and 14 earned runs in 17 innings this season. Matthews will make his fifth career MLB start. This will be Matthews’ second career Game against the Kansas City Royals.

Cole Ragans gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 10-9 with a 3.46 ERA and 197 strikeouts this season. Ragans has allowed 23 hits and 14 earned runs in his last 33 innings. Ragans has a 3.83 ERA and a .232 allowed batting average in 82.1 home innings. Ragans is 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Royals have won each of their last 11 Friday home games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have covered the run line each of their last 12 Friday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Friday night games as favorites.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last 12 Friday games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 13 night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded at least one Double in four of the Royals’ last five games as favorites.
  • Adam Frazier has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against the Twins after not playing the previous day.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.339) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in four of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in six of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Kansas City Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (971).
  • The Kansas City Royals rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (132).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (272).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (359).

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Minnesota Twins and plus money is always worth a look, given they’re a playoff team, and you don’t get them in these spots often. However, Zebby Matthews only has a few starts under his belt, and he’s been hit hard at times. Cole Ragans is far and away the more trustworthy pitcher in this matchup, and the Royals just ended the losing streak and had a day off to find their footing. The Royals at home with the better home feels like the play on Friday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Kansas City Royals -137

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