Inter Miami (21 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses) welcomes the New England Revolution (9-4-20) to Chase Stadium Saturday to wrap up their regular seasons. Kickoff is set for 6 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Inter Miami vs. New England Revolution odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
Inter Miami will have F Lionel Messi active, although reports are that he may not be among the starting XI. Messi has helped Inter be in a position to set the single-season points record with a win. Messi has 17 goals and a team-high 11 assists on the season. Miami has won 2 straight and 7 of its last 10. It is a strong 10-4-2 at home this season and has a league-best +26 goal differential.
The Revolution, who have consistently been among the best in the Eastern Conference the last several seasons, have struggled and are not in playoff position, even with a win. They are 4-0-12 on the road and have a -33 goal differential. New England is coming off a 4-0 loss at the Columbus Crew Saturday. It has dropped 3 straight and 5 of its last 7. The Revolution are led by F Giacomo Vrioni, who has 9 goals on the season.
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Inter Miami vs. New England Revolution odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 10:39 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Inter Miami -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | New England Revolution +625 (bet $100 to win $625) | Draw +450
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -145 | U: +100)
Inter Miami vs. New England Revolution picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 3, New England Revolution 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
There’s no value in taking a moneyline play here. Inter (-300) has a reason to come out on top, and the Revolution have little reason to put on a show here. Miami has dominated as of late and should get Messi on the pitch for at least some of the match.
At these odds, nothing is worth taking on the moneyline, as Miami is too expensive to play and New England isn’t worth the risk to get any result.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (+100).
New England’s offense is not trustworthy enough to expect it to contribute to the scoring here. The Revolution have been held without a goal in 2 of their last 3 road games and scored just once in their last 3 away matches. The Revolution have scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches in total and had under 1.0 expected goals in 3 of their last 4.
Inter has a dynamic offense with stars littered throughout its lineup. However, it has scored more than 1 goal in just 1 of its last 4 matches and has gone under this total in 3 of its last 4. Considering those trends for both sides, back UNDER 3.5 (+100).
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