LAFC welcomes the Seattle Sounders to BMO Stadium for a Western Conference semifinal Saturday. Kickoff is set for 10:30 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the LAFC vs. Seattle Sounders odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
LAFC finished atop the Western Conference and earned the No. 1 seed in the playoffs, closing the regular season with a conference-best +20 goal differential. It was 11-4-2 at home as well. LAFC, which won its last 5 regular-season games, beat the Vancouver Whitecaps in a best-of-3 Round 1 series, winning 1-0 in Game 3 Nov. 8 to advance.
The Seattle Sounders finished fourth in the West and were among 6 teams in the MLS with a +16 goal differential or better — the Sounders scored 51 goals and surrendered 35. Seattle was among the hottest teams to close the regular season, ending the last few months with an 11-2-2 record. It drew the Houston Dynamo in back-to-back Games in Round 1 — 0-0 in Game the opener and 1-1 in Game 2 — but advanced by winning both matches in penalty kicks.
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LAFC vs. Seattle Sounders FC odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: LAFC -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Seattle Sounders FC +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Draw +240
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -110 | U: -135)
LAFC vs. Seattle Sounders FC picks and predictions
Prediction
Seattle Sounders 1, LAFC 1 (Sounders advance in penalty kicks)
Moneyline (ML)
BET DRAW (+240).
The Sounders have been performing at a high level on the road. They have had more expected goals than their opponent in 3 of their last 4 games. Seattle has drawn 3 straight matches as well, so it has been playing at the level of its opponent.
LAFC hasn’t drawn since the middle of September, but it has been within 0.5 expected goals of its opponent in 5 straight. In simpler terms, LAFC isn’t blowing out opponents like the best team in the West should although it has consistently won.
With those trends in mind, BACK DRAW (+240).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (-135).
LAFC has held its opponent scoreless in 3 of its last 7 games. It has scored 1 goal or fewer in 2 straight matchets and has had 1.2 or fewer expected goals in 3 of its last 5 outings.
Seattle has gone Under this total in 4 straight and in 5 of its last 6. The Sounders have held their opponent scoreless in 4 of their last 6 and have held their opponent to 1 or fewer in 9 of their last 10.
Put it all together and BACK UNDER 2.5 (-135).
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