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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-26-24 Picks

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Minnesota Twins (56-45) vs. Detroit Tigers (51-53)
July 26, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers +143 / Minnesota Twins -169; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers meet Friday in MLB action from Comerica Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins played the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. Minnesota lost 3-0 in the Tuesday matchup, but otherwise took victories 7-2 and 5-4 in the other pair. In the Wednesday victory, the Twins got a solo homer from Matt Wallner.

For the starter gig on Friday the Twins will send out Pablo Lopez. This year Lopez is 8-7 with a 4.86 ERA in 20 starts. Lopez is 47-46 with a 4.00 ERA in 146 career starts.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they just finished up against the Cleveland Guardians. Detroit lost two of the first three Games in that set, then in the finale the Tigers posted a 3-0 shutout win. Detroit scored all three of their runs in the second inning.

It’ll be Keider Montero in the starting role for the Tigers on Friday. This year so far Montero is 1-3 with a 5.97 ERA. He’s got 26 strikeouts to his credit in six Games (five starts).

Tigers vs Twins Pick Injury Notes

Twins CF Byron Buxton exited Wednesday’s game due to a forearm contusion.

Tigers CF Parker Meadows (hamstring) ran the bases Wednesday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Twins’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six home games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five night games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against the Twins.
  • Carson Kelly has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances with the Tigers against AL opponents.
  • Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Pablo Lopez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 appearances with the Twins as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll probably go with the Twins here. Lopez was pretty shaky earlier this month, posting six earned in 5.0 innings during a loss to Houston. Since then however, Lopez has just three earned combined over 12.0 innings. As for Holton, he’s got 4.2 clean frames over his last three outings.

The Twins did fairly well versus the Phillies this week—aside from their Tuesday goose egg, that is. Minnesota has now scored four or more runs in four of their last five Games, so if they can keep the offense going the Twins should be in good shape.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -169

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