The Detroit Tigers visit the Cleveland Guardians for a decisive Game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday at 1:08 p.m. ET at Progressive Field. The winner clinches the series and moves on to the ALCS.

The Tigers are favored (-125 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Guardians (+105). The probable starters are Tarik Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA) for the Tigers against Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA) for the Guardians.

Hunter Gaddis (1.2 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 3 K) was credited with a win in the Guardians’ 5-4 victory over the Tigers Thursday. David Fry led the way offensively, going 1-for-1 with a home run and three RBI. Beau Brieske (0.1 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Tigers.

Before the Tigers vs. Guardians, here’s what you need to prepare for Saturday’s playoff action, including viewing options.

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians odds and betting lines

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 9:16 p.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Favorite: Tigers (-125, bet $125 to win $100)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+105, bet $100 to win $105)
  • Over/under: 6

Tigers stats and trends

Tigers betting records

  • The Tigers have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 40, or 58.8%, of those games.
  • Detroit is 31-17 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Tigers, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
  • Games involving Detroit have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 80 of 167 chances this season.
  • In 166 games with a spread this season, the Tigers are 92-74-0 ATS.

Tarik Skubal (Tigers probable starter)

  • Skubal gets the start for the Tigers, his 32nd of the season. He is 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA and 228 strikeouts in 192 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went seven scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.39, with 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 31 games this season. Opponents are hitting .201 against him.
  • Skubal is looking for his fourth quality start in a row.
  • Skubal will try to build on a 19-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing).
  • He is trying to keep a streak of three games without allowing an earned run alive.
  • He will take the hill against a Guardians offense that ranks 25th in MLB with 1263 total hits (on a .238 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .395 (16th in MLB) with 185 total home runs (12th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Guardians this season, Skubal has pitched 14 innings, giving up one earned run on 13 hits while striking out 14.
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks second in ERA (2.39), second in WHIP (.922), and fifth in K/9 (10.7) among qualifying pitchers.

Tigers batting stats

  • The Tigers have hit 162 homers this season, which ranks 24th in the league.
  • Hitters for Detroit have combined for a team rank of 22nd in the majors with a .385 team slugging percentage.
  • The Tigers have a team batting average of .234 this season, which ranks 23rd among MLB teams.
  • Detroit ranks 19th in the majors with 682 total runs scored this season.
  • The Tigers have an OBP of just .300 this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.
  • Detroit ranks 23rd with an average of 9.0 strikeouts per game.

Guardians stats and trends

Guardians betting records

  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 59 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (45.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Cleveland has won 13 of 39 games when listed as at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over in 71 of its 165 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Guardians are 84-80-0 against the spread in their 164 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Matthew Boyd (Guardians probable starter)

  • Boyd (2-2) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his ninth start of the season. He has a 2.72 ERA in 39 2/3 innings pitched, with 46 strikeouts.
  • The lefty last appeared on Monday against the Detroit Tigers, when he went 4 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.72, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings in eight games this season. Opposing hitters have a .213 batting average against him.
  • Boyd enters the outing with three quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Boyd has put up five starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
  • So far during the 2024 campaign he has allowed at least one earned run in all of his outings.
  • He meets a Tigers offense that ranks 19th in the league with 682 total runs scored while batting .234 as a squad. His opponent has a collective .385 slugging percentage (22nd in MLB play) and has hit a total of 162 home runs (24th in the league).
  • Boyd has thrown 4 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out five against the Tigers this season.

Guardians batting stats

  • The Guardians are 12th in MLB play with 185 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.
  • This season, Cleveland is 16th in the majors with a .395 slugging percentage.
  • The Guardians rank 21st in MLB with a .238 batting average.
  • Averaging 4.4 runs per game (708 total), Cleveland is the 14th-highest scoring team in baseball.
  • The Guardians rank 18th in the majors with an on-base percentage of .307.
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