The Denver Nuggets face the Minnesota Timberwolves Thursday in Game 6 of the best-of-7 Western Conference semifinals. Tip-off from Target Center is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Series: Nuggets lead 3-2; regular season was tied 2-2
Finally the home team won. Unfortunately for Minnesota that means they are 1 game away from being eliminated. Timberwolves G Anthony Edwards shot 1-5 from beyond the arc and the entire team didn’t do that much better, hitting just 30.8% from 3.
Nuggets C Nikola Jokic, on the other hand, made 2 of his 3 treys and shot 15-for-22 overall to notch a 40-point game in their 112-97 victory. Denver easily covered their -4.5 spread and the Over (204.5) hit by 5 points.
Nuggets at Timberwolves odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:41 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Timberwolves -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets +2.5 (-115) | Timberwolves -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 203.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Nuggets at Timberwolves key injuries
Nuggets
- G Jamal Murray (calf) questionable
Timberwolves
- G Mike Conley (leg) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Timberwolves picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 120, Timberwolves 108
Moneyline
It appears this Nuggets team has figured out the Timberwolves. The pressure is on Minnesota, but this team is still relatively young.
With the Timberwolves winning 2 games in Denver already this series, the Nuggets should treat this like a Game 7, matching Minnesota’s urgency.
LEAN NUGGETS (+110).
Against the spread
As a home favorite in the regular season, the Timberwolves won in 70.7% of their Games. However, against the spread in those Games they covered just 41% of the time.
Since I like Denver, I certainly would consider taking the points as insurance. But no need to pay the juice; if you like Denver to win just play the moneyline for a better value.
PASS.
Over/Under
The line for 1st 2 games was set at 209.5 and both games went Under. Since then the books dropped it to 205 and the next 3 games went Over (and 2 of those totals were below 209.5).
While the current line is 203.5, I think 4 straight Overs will be tough to hit since both teams should be playing desperately.
PASS.
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