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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9-16-24 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (78-70) vs. Cleveland Guardians (85-64)
September 16, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -105 / Minnesota Twins -105; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet Monday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Twins pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins played the Cincinnati Reds over the weekend. Minnesota took a couple of losses 8-4 and 11-1 in the first pair. In the finale the Twins powered out a 9-2 win on 12 team hits. Starter David Festa left after just 3.2 innings and two earned runs, though.

In the starter slot for Monday the Twins will send out Pablo Lopez. Over his 29 starts Lopez is 15-8 with a 3.88 ERA. In 155 career starts Lopez is 54-47 with a 3.86 ERA.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Tampa Bay Rays in their last set. Cleveland lost the first pair before a 6-1 Saturday victory. In the finale the Guardians snagged a 2-0 shutout win to come away with a draw in the series. Ben Lively finished with 5.0 clean frames, four hits and a walk.

It’ll be Matthew Boyd in the starter slot for the Guardians on Monday. This year Boyd is 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA in six starts. Over 180 career Games (166 starts) Boyd is 46-68 with a 4.84 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Guardians’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Twins’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three home games against the Twins.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians’ last five night games.
  • Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against the Twins.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against AL opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in 11 of the Guardians’ last 13 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against the Guardians.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances.
  • Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances at Progressive Field.
  • Pablo Lopez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Farmer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m leaning toward the Twins. We should have a nice pitching matchup here, though. Boyd has been pretty good in his last few outings, too. During that trio Boyd is 1-1 with three earned runs over 16.1 combined innings. As for Lopez, he’s given up just three earned (all in one start) over his last three outings over 21.1 innings.

In their Sunday matchup the Twins scored five runs during a big seventh inning that pretty much iced the Game. Brooks Lee (five RBI) in particular had a great day. I’d like to see a good start out of Lopez Monday; if Minnesota can get that, the team should have a solid shot at another W.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -105

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