MLB
Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers Prediction 9-14-24 MLB Picks
LA Dodgers (87-59) vs. Atlanta Braves (79-67)
September 14, 2024 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -115 / LA Dodgers -102; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers Prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Dodgers pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Dodgers took on the Chicago Cubs in their last set. Los Angeles lost the first pair 10-4 and 6-3 but stopped the sweep with a 10-8 win in the finale. On Friday in the opener versus the Braves, LA fell behind 5-0 after two innings in an eventual 6-2 loss. Landon Knack gave up five earned over 2.0 innings of work.
In the starter slot Saturday the Dodgers will send out Jack Flaherty. So far Flaherty is 12-6 with a 2.86 ERA in 25 starts. Over 156 career Games (150 starts) Flaherty is 54-40 with a 3.59 ERA.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
Over on the Braves’ side, they played a pair versus the Washington Nationals this week, splitting 12-0 (win) and 5-1 (loss). On Friday the Braves scored four in the second inning and never looked back. Both Jorge Soler and Gio Urshela notched homers.
Starter for Saturday will be Chris Sale. This year Sale is 16-3 with a 2.38 ERA in 27 starts. Sale is 136-83 with a 3.04 ERA in 370 career Games (290 starts).
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Dodgers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last four games at Truist Park.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last 11 home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites.
Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers Prediction
I’ll stick with the Braves. Sale is rolling along nicely right now. Over his last three starts combined Sale is 2-0 with just one earned run in 19.0 innings on 14 hits and two walks. As for Flaherty, he’s doing pretty well himself lately with just one earned over 13.0 innings across his last two starts, going 2-0.
On Friday the Braves got a nice start from Spencer SchwelleNBAch (6.0 innings; two earned) and rode the early runs to a victory. If Atlanta can get another good bullpen performance behind Sale on Saturday they’ll be set up well.
Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -115
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