In 2024 Summer Olympics women’s semifinal soccer action, Brazil and Spain meet Tuesday at 3 p.m. ET (E! / Peacock / Universo). The match takes place at Orange Velodrome in Marseille, France. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines for the Brazil vs. Spain, and make our expert Summer Olympic picks and predictions.
Brazil stunned host-nation France 1-0 in the quarterfinals to secure a spot in the Olympics’ version of the Final 4. F Gabi Portilho broke a scoreless tie at 82′, causing an immediate hush over La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau in Nantes.
In many ways, Brazil was outplayed in the quarters. It had just 2 shots on goal, and 9 total shot attempts, while possessing the ball just 42.2% of the time. Selecao Canarinhas were a little undisciplined, too, committing 42 fouls, while securing 5 yellow cards.
Team captain F Marta sat out the victory as she was suspended after receiving a red card in the group finale against Spain. Brazil has appealed FIFA’s decision to ban the legendary player for 2 matches.
Speaking of Spain, with France getting bumped off, it now has the shortest odds to win the gold medal at +125.
The Spaniards defeated Colombia 4-2 in penalty kicks after a wild 2-2 draw in full time in their quarterfinals match.
Brazil vs. Spain odds
Provided by FanDuel rcOEKBOvUck8book; access USA TODAY rcOEKBOvUck8 Scores and rcOEKBOvUck8 Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:11 a.m. ET.
- 3-way moneyline (ML): Brazil +490 (bet $100 to win $490) | Spain -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Draw +260
- 2-way spread: Brazil +0.5 (+132) | Spain -0.5 (-162)
- Over/Under (O/U): 2.5 (O: +112 | U: -150)
Brazil vs. Spain picks and predictions
Prediction
Spain 1, Brazil 0
Moneyline
Spain (-160) is a little on the pricey side but worth a look on the 3-way moneyline.
Brazil (+490) is unlikely to get Marta back, barring a change of heart from FIFA. She is the heart and soul of the team, as the 38-year-old is playing in her 6th Olympic games.
Win or lose, Marta will have a chance to play in either the bronze or gold medal match for Brazil, so don’t look for her to have her punishment reduced.
Even if Marta can play, she was on the pitch for most of the July 31 Group C match against Spain, which rolled to a 2-0 win.
2-way line/Against the spread
SPAIN -0.5 (-170) is worth pursuing, as it should be able to secure the victory and advance to the Gold Medal Match.
Playing the 2-way line against the spread is slightly cheaper than the 3-way line, and gives you a little more wiggle room.
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Over/Under
While there’s a bit of juice on UNDER 2.5 (-162), it’s the way to go here.
When these teams met July 31, there was just 2 goals as the Under cashed. The O/U is 2-2 for Spain in its 4 matches.
Brazil has cashed the Under at a 3-1 clip in these Olympics, posting 2 clean sheets in victory, while also suffering the shutout loss to Spain in group play.
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More USA TODAY Summer Olympics coverage:
News | Medal count | Meet Team USA