For the 3rd year in a row, the Dallas Cowboys finished the regular season 12-5 and flamed out in the playoffs before reaching the NFC Championship Game, which they have not been to since 1995.
Last season ended with a demoralizing 48-32 loss at home to the Green Bay Packers. After the disappointing loss, most expected owner Jerry Jones to clean house, starting with coach Mike McCarthy, but that did not happen. It should be noted, though, that they declined to extend the coach’s deal, which implies that things will have to improve in 2024.
When discussing the Cowboys, it all begins and ends with QB Dak Prescott. The scrutiny of his play continues to grow, as his playoff record fell to 2-5. He is entering the final year of his 4-year, $160 million contract. Prescott agreed to restructure his contract to lower his nearly $60 million salary cap figure for 2024 and create $4 million for Dallas under the cap. It does not look like an extension is forthcoming for Prescott, which means he’s on his way to free agency in 2025.
Dallas did little to nothing in free agency despite the owner saying that the Cowboys were going “all in” this offseason. While they were silent, the rest of the league picked apart their roster. Dallas let LT Tyron Smith, RB Tony Pollard, DE Dorance Armstrong, C Tyler Biadasz, DE Dante Fowler Jr., DT Neville Gallimore, CB Noah Igbinoghene, and DT Johnathan Hankins sign elsewhere. The Cowboys also lost defensive coordinator Dan Quinn, who took the head coaching position with the division rival Washington Commanders. He took along highly sought after secondary coach Joe Witt to be his defensive coordinator.
It looks like Dallas’ plan to go “all-in” means to just run it back and hope for better results in 2024.
Below, we look at the Dallas Cowboys 2024 NFL Super Bowl odds from FanDuel Sportsbook along with projected win total, playoff, conference and division odds as we make our best NFL picks and predictions.
2024 Dallas Cowboys schedule
| WK | DATE | OPPONENT | TIME |
| All times ET | |||
| 1 | Sept. 8 | at Browns | 4:25 p.m. |
| 2 | Sept. 15 | vs. Saints | 1 p.m. |
| 3 | Sept. 22 | vs. Ravens | 1 p.m. |
| 4 | Sept. 26 (Th) | at Giants | 8:15 p.m. |
| 5 | Oct. 6 | at Steelers | 8:20 p.m. |
| 6 | Oct. 13 | vs. Lions | 4:25 p.m. |
| 7 | BYE WEEK | ||
| 8 | Oct. 27 | at 49ers | 8:20 p.m. |
| 9 | Nov. 3 | at Falcons | 1 p.m. |
| 10 | Nov. 10 | vs. Eagles | 4:25 p.m. |
| 11 | Nov. 18 (M) | vs. Texans | 8:15 p.m. |
| 12 | Nov. 24 | at Commanders | 1 p.m. |
| 13 | Nov. 28 (Th) | vs. Giants | 4:30 p.m. |
| 14 | Dec. 9 (M) | vs. Bengals | 8:15 p.m. |
| 15 | Dec. 15 | at Panthers | 1 p.m. |
| 16 | Dec. 22 | vs. Buccaneers | 8:20 p.m. |
| 17 | Dec. 29 | at Eagles | 4:25 p.m. |
| 18 | Jan. 4 or 5 | vs. Commanders | TBD |
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Cowboys over/under win total
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook – last updated May 24 at 8 p.m. ET; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- 10.5 wins: (Over: +100 | Under: -122)
According to Sharp Football Analysis, which based its calculations off projected win totals, the Cowboys have the 11th-toughest schedule in the NFL. Their implied line of 10.4 wins is exactly the same as projections by most sportsbooks.
After perusing the schedule for Dallas, this line is set perfectly. I see it finishing with 10 to 11 wins, dancing right around this total. The Cowboys should get off to a strong start before reaching their Week 7 bye. Their toughest games in those first 6 are both at home against the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens. After the bye, they’ve got an incredibly tough 4-game stretch. They’d be happy to come away 2-2 after visiting the San Francisco 49ers and Atlanta Falcons, then hosting the Philadelphia Eagles and Houston Texans. Things ease up after that with 3 of the next 4 against teams that finished with 6 wins or fewer in 2023 (the Commanders, New York Giants and Carolina Panthers). Their season ends with back-to-back games against NFC East rivals.
The Cowboys have 6 prime-time Games, including their traditional Thanksgiving Day Game. They also have the tough task of squaring off against the AFC North this season.
The NFC East crown will likely be determined by that Week 17 matchup against the Eagles in Philadelphia. I believe Dallas gets to 11 wins, but a lot of things will have to break its way, which is why I’m going to recommend you PASS on this wager and look for something safer.
Cowboys Super Bowl odds
- +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
The Cowboys have the 8th-best odds to win the Super Bowl, only behind the 49ers (+550), Kansas City Chiefs (+600), Ravens (+950), Cincinnati Bengals (+1300), Lions (+1300), Buffalo Bills (+1300) and Eagles (+1500). I believe this is a fair spot for them amongst the rest of those talented teams.
It has nearly been the 30 years since the Cowboys were in the Super Bowl. We all remember the glory years of Dallas winning championships with “The Triplets” of QB Troy Aikmen, RB Emmitt Smith, and WR Michael Irvin. Those teams brought in a generation of Cowboy fans, but this fanbase has seen nothing but heartache since 1995. They were a dynasty in the early 90s not unlike we’ve seen in more recent years from the New England Patriots and now Chiefs.
When you look at the current NFL landscape, this team doesn’t have that edge you need to win a championship. The Chiefs certainly have it, and I believe the 49ers, Eagles, Ravens and Lions have it as well, but there is just something missing from the Cowboys. That’s why I’m going to recommend you PASS on this wager as well.
Will Cowboys make the playoffs?
- Yes -220 | No +176
Despite their difficult schedule, the Cowboys will make their way into the playoffs, most likely via a Wild Card spot. I know they didn’t make many changes to a roster that flamed out in the playoffs, but they are a very talented team.
They will make the playoffs, but making a -220 bet on them to do it, just isn’t smart. You are betting more than 2 times your potential return and tying that money up for several months. I’m going to PASS, and you should do the same.
Odds to win NFC East Division
- Cowboys +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Eagles +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Commanders +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
- Giants +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000)
The NFC East is basically a 2-horse race between the Cowboys and Eagles. Their odds are identical to win the division, so the market agrees. I don’t agree because the Eagles have a mental and talent edge over Dallas. Philadelphia has an argument for the best roster in the NFL and has overcome the mental hurdle of getting to a Super Bowl recently, while Dallas consistently chokes in the postseason.
The Commanders should make some noise in the division after completely overhauling their front office, coaching staff and roster. They’ve also got the excitement of bringing in No. 2 overall pick QB Jayden Daniels to lead their franchise into the future. While they should improve, they are a year or 2 away from really competing.
The team that no one can really get a read on is the Giants. Their best offensive weapon took a job just down I-95 in the City of Brotherly Love. There is some excitement around their 1st-round pick WR Malik Nabers out of LSU, but it’s muted because of QB Daniel Jones and the organization’s lack of confidence in him.
It’s basically a toss-up between these 2 teams to win the NFC East, but I believe the Eagles come out on top in 2024, which means I’m AVOIDING this bet.
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Cowboys odds to win NFC
- +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
According to the market, the Cowboys have the 3rd-best odds to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, just behind the 49ers (+250) and Lions (+600).
This team has not been to the big game since 1995 when they beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 27-17 in Super Bowl XXX. I do not see that changing in 2024 with this team as it is currently constructed. This whole roster has known nothing but failure in the postseason — that culture has to change before they can take that next step.
You should PASS on taking the Cowboys to win the NFC.
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