In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Jared Cannonier and Caio Borralho meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 62 — also known as UFC Vegas 96 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 62: Cannonier vs. Borralho odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Records: Cannonier (17-7-0) | Borralho (16-1-0)
Cannonier is looking to bounce back after a 4th-round KO/TKO loss against Nassourdine Imavov last time out in the main event in early June. He is 2-2 in his past 4 fights, including a unanimous-decision loss to Israel Adesanya at UFC 276 in a title fight.
Since making his debut, the southpaw Borralho has won 6 straight fights at the UFC level. He picked up a 2nd-round KO/TKO win at UFC 301 last time out against Paul Craig in early May. However, 4 of his 6 fights have ended up going the distance.
The 40-year-old Cannonier holds a 2.5-inch reach advantage, and he has a 4.62-to-2.91 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. The Brazilian fighter is much more accurate, however, posting a 68.36% significant strikes accuracy percentage and a 1.99 takedown average to just 0.47 for Cannonier. Borralho is much more accurate on takedown accuracy, too, at 63.16%.
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UFC on ESPN 62: Cannonier vs. Borralho odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:49 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Cannonier +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Borralho -245 (bet $245 to win $100)
- Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -112 | Under -112)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +108 | No -136)
UFC on ESPN 62: Cannonier vs. Borralho picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
It’s experience against accuracy in this main event. Cannonier (+200) has the reach advantage, and he has fought for the title, but he is also in the twilight of his career now.
However, you can’t back Borralho (-245), as he’ll cost you well in excess of 2 times your potential return.
Go with BORRALHO BY POINTS (+200) for the chance to double up, as this fight should be one which goes all the way, with the judges determining a victor.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (+108): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth a look, as Cannonier has ended up going the distance in 3 of his past 4 fights and 5 of his previous 7 bouts.
For Borralho, he has ended up going the distance in 4 of his 6 fights at the UFC level, too.
If you’d like a little wiggle room, in the event of a late Round 5 win, take OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-112).
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