In a 3-round bantamweight bout on the main card, Douglas Silva de Andrade and Miles Johns meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 58 — also known as UFC Vegas 93 — at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 58: Silva de Andrade vs. Johns odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims begin at 7 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+.
Records: Silva de Andrade (29-5-0) | Johns (14-2-0)
Silva de Andrade picked up a unanimous-decision win over Cody Stamann last time out May 13, 2023. He has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 6 bouts, with the exception being a submission win over Sergey Morozov at UFC 271 in Feb. 2022, and a 1st-round KO/TKO against Gaetano Pirrello in Oct. 2021.
The 30-year-old Johns, fighting for Team Marathon MMA, has 2 unanimous-decisions wins sandwiching a no contest against Dan Argueta in the past 3 bouts. He had a UD win against Cody Gibson in his most recent showing in late March.
The 38-year-old Brazilian fighter, Silva de Andrade holds a 2.5-inch reach advantage over Johns. He also has a slight 3.66-to-3.28 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Johns is much more accurate on those strikes, however, posting a 52.92% mark, while Silva de Andrade lands at just 42.63%.
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UFC on ESPN 58: Silva de Andrade vs. Johns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Silva de Andrade +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Johns -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -150 | No +110)
UFC on ESPN 58: Silva de Andrade vs. Johns picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
There is concern backing SILVA DE ANDRADE (+120) as the slight underdog. There could be some rust, as he makes his return after a 13-month layoff, and there are concerns about his cardio. But the good news is that this is just a 3-round bout, and not one of the 5-round variety.
Johns (-145) has won via unanimous decision in his past 2 victories, and he hasn’t lost since Feb. 5, 2022. However, Silva de Andrade is a big step up in competition, and Johns could find himself overwhelmed against the wily veteran.
Over/Under (O/U)
YES (-150): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the recommended play.
Johns has gone the distance in each of his past 3 fights, with 2 unanimous-decision wins and the no contest against Argueta.
For Silva de Andrade, he has gone the distance in 2 in a row and 4 of the past 6 fights.
Since we’re picking the Brazilian veteran, it’s a good idea to also go with SILVA DE ANDRADE BY DECISION (+325) for a chance to more than triple up.
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