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Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8-17-24 MLB Picks

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Minnesota Twins (68-53) vs. Texas Rangers (56-66)
August 17, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -125 / Minnesota Twins +115; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Texas Rangers meet Saturday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rangers vs Twins pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

In their last series versus the Kansas City Royals, the Twins won the first pair 8-3 and 13-3 before a 4-1 Wednesday loss. Following a 3-2 win versus the Rangers in the Thursday opener, in game two Minnesota eked out a 4-3 win. Starter Simeon Woods Richardson finished with 5.0 innings and two earned.

Starter for Saturday will be the Twins’ David Festa. This year in the first six Games (five starts) of his career Festa is 2-2 with a 5.20 ERA.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

Over on the Rangers’ side, they took on the Boston Red Sox in their last series. Texas lost the first two Games 5-4 and 9-4 before a 9-7 win in the finale. On Friday the Rangers gave up three runs in the fifth inning. Andrew Heaney managed 4.1 frames in the start with four earned runs.

As starter for Saturday the Rangers will go with Nathan Eovaldi. So far Eovaldi is 8-6 with a 3.75 ERA in 21 starts. Eovaldi is 87-79 with a 4.08 ERA in 286 Games (267 starts) over his career.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Rangers’ last eight games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven Saturday appearances against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Rangers’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Nathan Eovaldi has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Marcus Semien has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last six games against AL Central opponents.
  • Marcus Semien has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 13 home games against AL Central opponents.
  • Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances at Globe Life Field against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Twins’ last eight games against AL West opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texas Rangers rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (160).
  • The Texas Rangers rank 25th in the league for walks allowed this season (421).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (241).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (314).

Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll probably just stick with the Twins here. Festa was a little uneven in his last appearance versus Cleveland, giving up three hits, three walks and one earned run in 3.1 innings. In his two starts prior however, Festa was better with two earned in 10.0 innings on five hits and three walks.

On Friday the Twins only managed five team hits, and all of their runs came via homers from Carlos Santana (three RBI) and Ryan Jeffers (RBI; two runs). The bullpen wasn’t too bad overall outside of a couple spotty performances early. Festa needs a lengthy start Saturday in order to get the Twins comfortable.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins +115

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