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Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction 9-6-24 US Open Picks

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Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe
September 6, 2024 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Frances Tiafoe +200 / Taylor Fritz -250
(Get latest betting odds)

Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe meet Friday in the 2024 US Open tennis semifinal. Here’s a Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction. This article will include a Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe Pick.

Taylor Fritz Betting Preview

Taylor Fritz is coming off a 4 set win over Alexander Zverev that took 45 Games to decide. In the victory, Fritz won 81 percent of his first serve points and 53 percent of his second serve points. Fritz won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on 2 of his 13 break points. Fritz got 63 percent of his first serves in play and hit 45 winners. Fritz has dropped just two sets this tournament and has now won 7 of his last 9 matches that have gone longer than three sets. Fritz has also won all three tiebreaks in this tournament.

Fritz is looking for his first grand slam final appearance, and this is his first semifinal appearance. Fritz has a chance to make his fourth final appearance of the year and his 15th overall. Fritz has never made four final appearances in a single year. Fritz has won 6 of his last 8 matches on hard court.

Frances Tiafoe Betting Preview

Frances Tiafoe is coming off a 4 set win over Grigor Dimitrov that took 36 Games to decide. In the victory, Tiafoe won 74 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Tiafoe won 70 percent of his total service points and converted on 6 of his 14 break points. Tiafoe got 50 percent of his first serves in play and hit 26 winners. Tiafoe played three hours of Tennis and didn’t have to finish the match due to Dimitrov retiring 5 Games into the fourth set. Tiafoe has played a lot of Tennis to get here, so the extra day of rest should help. Tiafoe has won 8 of his last 11 matches that have gone longer than three sets.

Tiafoe looks for his first grand slam final appearance, and he lost his only other semifinal trip in the 2022 US Open. Tiafoe looks for his third final appearance of the year and the 10th of his career. Tiafoe has never made three final appearances in a single year. Tiafoe has won 9 of his last 10 matches on hard court.

Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe H2H

Fritz has won 6 of the last 7 matches against Tiafoe and each of the last 6 overall. Tiafoe’s only win over Fritz was in 2016 Indian Wells. The most recent match was 2023 Acapulco, which Fritz won in straight sets. Four of the 7 matches were decided in straight sets. The only other match in a major was 2022 Australian Open, which Fritz won in straight sets as well. Every previous match was on hard court.

Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Taylor Fritz is the rightful favorite given his Game is more consistent, his serve is more reliable, and he’s absolutely dominated the H2H. Six straight wins, and a lot of those matches were one-sided. Fritz should win. However, this is New York where Tiafoe plays his best Tennis and plays to the crowd better than Fritz. The crowd should be neutral given its two Americans, but Tiafoe does do a better job of working the people, while Fritz is more introverted and just plays his Game. If things get tense and the crowd gets rowdy, it can flip things for Tiafoe and even make Fritz a little uncomfortable.

Again, Fritz should win, but there’s value with Tiafoe and a chance to make two times your money. I’ll take Tiafoe at this price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Frances Tiafoe +200

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