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Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-18-24 MLB Picks

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Boston Red Sox (75-73) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (73-76)
September 18, 2024 6:50 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -125 / Boston Red Sox +106; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Wednesday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Rays vs Red Sox pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Red Sox took on the rival New York Yankees. Boston won Saturday 7-1 but dropped the other three installments. In their opener versus the Rays on Tuesday, the Red Sox mustered just three hits in an 8-3 loss. Nick Pivetta gave up four earned in 4.2 innings as a starter.

Tanner Houck will start for Boston Wednesday. Houck is 8-10 with a 3.24 ERA and 150 Ks.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they played the Cleveland Guardians in their last series. Tampa Bay won the first pair but lost both weekend Games. On Tuesday the Rays scored four runs in the fifth inning along the way to 12 team hits. Shane Baz cruised in the start with 7.0 innings and two earned.

It’ll be Ryan Pepiot in the starter slot for the Rays on Wednesday. This year Pepiot is 8-6 with a 3.76 ERA in 23 starts. In his career, Pepiot is 13-7 with a 3.35 ERA in 40 Games (33 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Siri has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rays as favorites.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last three games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Rays as favorites.
  • Jose Siri has recorded a Single in eight of his last nine appearances with the Rays as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Taylor Walls has scored a run in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as underdogs.
  • Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against the Rays.
  • Connor Wong has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in seven of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last three games as underdogs against the Rays.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll stay with the Rays here. Pepiot was a bit spotty in his last appearance versus Cleveland, giving up two earned in 2.0 innings on four hits and two walks. Prior to that, Pepiot notched a win over Baltimore with one earned in 5.1 innings, though.

On Tuesday the Rays got a solid pitching performance across the board, though Baz had to steady the ship after some early stumbles. The Tampa Bay offense came through nicely and the team hit three homers for a combined seven RBI. The Rays should have a good shot Wednesday as well.

Andrew's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -125

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