The San Francisco Giants (74-78) and Baltimore Orioles (84-68) clash Thursday afternoon to finish off a 3-game series. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Giants vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Giants leads 2-0, winning 10-0 Tuesday and 5-3 Wednesday
The Giants had been shut out in 3 of their previous 4 games heading into this series, but they have gone 7 of 15 with runners in scoring position in taking the 1st 2 games against Baltimore. They head into Thursday looking for a 3rd straight conquest for the 1st time since Aug. 18-20.
The Orioles’ 4.80 runs per Game rank 6th in MLB, but the Baltimore bats have been quiet of late. Since Sept. 4, the Orioles have managed just 2.00 runs per Game on a .575 OPS. They have gone just 3-9 over that span and have lost ground to the New York Yankees in the hunt for the AL East flag.
Giants at Orioles projected starters
RHP Logan Webb vs. RHP Zach Eflin
Webb (12-10, 3.53 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 193 2/3 IP.
- Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-0 loss vs. San Diego Padres Friday
- Career vs. Orioles: 0-1, 3.86 ERA (7 IP, 3 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1 start
- Owns a 6.86 ERA over his last 4 starts
Eflin (10-9, 3.55 ERA) is making his 27th start. He owns a 1.13 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 154 2/3 IP in 26 starts.
- Last outing: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 1-0 loss at Detroit Tigers Friday
- Career vs. Giants: 1-2, 4.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 19 ER), 39 H, 11 BB, 28 K in 8 appearances (6 starts)
- Owns a 2.22 ERA since being acquired from the Toronto Blue Jays in a late-July trade
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Giants at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 7:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Giants +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Orioles -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Giants +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Giants at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 3, Orioles 2
Moneyline
Baltimore is 0-4 across its last 4 series finales.
Webb is an extreme ground-ball pitcher with his 56.9% GB rate (63.8% GB in last 3 starts). The Orioles are a slightly-below-average offense against such types.
Eflin’s line with Baltimore has been marked by an easy slate of opponents and a .245 batting average on balls in play.
The visitors have a solid return here: BACK SAN FRANCISCO (+115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Under is a lean, and the Giants are a would-be lean as a RL play. But the pricing here offers no leverage. AVOID.
Over/Under
The Under has cashed in 5 of Baltimore’s last 7 games.
A live pitching matchup and a Baltimore club that will be grinding in trying to right the ship and get in an October mode play into an UNDER 7.5 (-115) lean here. Both clubs have had too many extended offensive struggles of late to ignore the potential of a tidy pitcher’s duel in the series finale.
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