MLB

San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction 9-18-24 MLB Picks

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2m ago

Sep 18, 2024 / 1887 Views

Evan Walker

Houston Astros (81-69) vs. San Diego Padres (86-65)
September 18, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -106 / Houston Astros -111; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Petco Park. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction. This article will include a San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Pick.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 82-69 on the year and play the Angels and Mariners next. The Houston Astros have scored 11 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 Games. The Houston Astros have won 5 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 180 hits and 63 RBI, while Yordan Alvarez and Yainer Diaz have combined for 327 hits and 166 RBI.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 86-66 on the year and play the White Sox and Dodgers next. The San Diego Padres have scored 10 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The San Diego Padres have won 4 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 155 hits and 102 RBI, while Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill have combined for 302 hits and 169 RBI.

Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres Pitching Pick Matchup

Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 14-6 with a 2.91 ERA and 159 strikeouts this season. Valdez has allowed 7 hits and 1 run in his last 13.1 innings. Valdez has a 3.56 ERA and .228 allowed batting average in 73.1 road innings. Valdez is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 13-11 with a 3.58 ERA and 215 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 12 hits and 7 runs in his last 17 innings. Cease has a 3.36 ERA and .215 allowed batting average in 77.2 home innings. Cease is 0-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Padres have won each of their last five games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Astros have lost each of their last four games against the Padres following a road win.
The Padres have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
The Astros have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road win.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Manny Machado has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four games as home favorites against the Astros.
Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in three of the Padres’ last four games against AL opponents.
Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his last five Wednesday appearances in day games.
Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against the Astros.
Manny Machado has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Astros after playing the previous day.
Dylan Cease has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine Wednesday appearances with his team as a favorite.
Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in 14 of the Padres’ last 15 games.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances after playing the previous day.
Dylan Cease ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (215) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

Jason Heyward has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two day games.
Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Double in five of the Astros’ last six games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as underdogs against the Padres.
Framber Valdez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances.
Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with the Astros as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Ben Gamel has scored a run in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Yordan Alvarez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1377).
The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
The Houston Astros rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (1358).
The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1375).

San Diego Padres vs Houston Astros Prediction

You could make a case for either side as both teams are hot and a pitching matchup of Framber Valdez and Dylan Cease is great. However, I’ve been on the Padres a lot in the second half, and they haven’t let me down much. The San Diego Padres have been one of the best teams in baseball over the last two months, and I’m just not eager to jump in front of them as long as the price is reasonable. At home in a pick em spot, I have to roll with the Padres.