MLB

Royals vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 7/5/23

Published

1y ago

Jul 05, 2023 / 3438 Views

Evan Walker

Minnesota Twins (44-43) vs Kansas City Royals (25-61)

Game Info: Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 7:40 pm (Target Field)

Pablo Lopez (4-5) (4.24) vs Alec Marsh (0-1) (11.25)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -250 / Kansas City Royals +205 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Minnesota Twins in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday night at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 25-61 this season and they have won three of their last six Games. Prior to losing the first two Games in this series, Kansas City won two out of three Games against the Dodgers. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.30 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .264 opponent batting average this season. The Royals offense has scored 326 runs with a .233 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .254 with 13 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Alec Marsh, who is 0-1 with an 11.25 ERA and a 2.50 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year.

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 44-43 this season and they have won four of their last five Games. Minnesota has won the first two Games in this series by scores of 8-4 and 9-3. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 370 runs with a .234 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Byron Buxton is batting .216 with 15 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Pablo Lopez, who is 4-5 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 102.0 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Kansas City is 0-5 in their last 5 Wednesday Games and 21-59 in their last 80 road Games. The over is 4-1 in Kansas City’s last 5 Wednesday Games. Minnesota is 8-20 in their last 28 Games against a starting pitcher with a WHIP over 1.30. The over is 6-1 in Minnesota’s last 7 home Games and the under is 8-4 in their last 12 Games. The over is 5-1-1 in these two teams last 7 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Royals come into this Game with one of the worst records in all of baseball, while Minnesota is currently leading the AL Central. Kansas City is starting Alec Marsh, who did not pitch very well in his first start against the Dodgers. Minnesota is starting Pablo Lopez, who has allowed 1, 3, 4, 3, and 1 earned run over his last five starts. I like the over in this Game, as I think the Twins will jump all over Marsh.

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