MLB

NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7-27-24 Picks

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4m ago

Jul 27, 2024 / 9032 Views

Evan Walker

Atlanta Braves (54-47) vs. NY Mets (54-48)
July 27, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -109 / Atlanta Braves -109; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and NY Mets meet Saturday in MLB Game 3 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This article will include a NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 54-48 on the year after playing the Cardinals and Reds. The Atlanta Braves have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 6 games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 3 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 116 hits and 81 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson have combined for 179 hits and 90 RBI.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets are 55-48 on the year after playing the Marlins and Yankees. The NY Mets have scored 23 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The NY Mets have won 3 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 107 hits and 62 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 181 hits and 116 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs NY Mets Pitching Pick Matchup

Spencer SchwelleNBAch gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. SchwelleNBAch has allowed 17 hits and 6 runs in his last 19 innings. SchwelleNBAch has a 5.16 ERA and .259 allowed batting average in 22.2 road innings. This will be SchwelleNBAch’s first career Game against the NY Mets.

Tylor Megill gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 2-4 with a 5.08 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Megill has allowed 27 hits and 19 earned runs in his last 23 innings. Megill hasn’t pitched since June 29. Megill is 1-3 with a 4.79 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the New York Mets will Beat the Braves

The Mets have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
The Braves have lost each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have covered the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Mets’ last seven games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three games as home favorites against NL opponents.
Harrison Bader has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Braves.
Tylor Megill has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL East opponents.
Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Braves.
Starling Marte has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last seven games as home favorites against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five games as underdogs.
Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last nine games as underdogs.
Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games as underdogs.
Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored a run in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Braves’ last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.

NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m not running to the window to get behind either Spencer Schwellenbach or Tylor Megill, especially Megill given he hasn’t pitched in nearly a month. However, the Mets are simply playing the better baseball right now and have to be the more confident group. The Braves are kind of in a free-fall at the moment, and it’s hard to back them with confidence. In a pick em spot, give me the Mets at home based on their current form.