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Phillies vs Diamondbacks Prediction - MLB Picks 6/15/23

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Arizona Diamondbacks (41-27) vs Philadelphia Phillies (34-34)

Game Info: Thursday, June 15, 2023 at 3:40 pm (Chase Field)

Ryne Nelson (3-3) (4.95) vs Aaron Nola (5-5) (4.60)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +105 / Philadelphia Phillies -125 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 4 of their series on Thursday afternoon at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 34-34 this season and they have won nine of their last eleven Games. Philadelphia won Games 2 and 3 in this series by scores of 15-3 and 4-3. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average this season. The Phillies offense has scored 303 runs with a .259 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Nick Castellanos is batting .315 with eight home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 5-5 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched this year. 

Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 41-27 this season and they have won six of their last eight games. Arizona won Game 1 in this series by a score of 9-8 on Monday night. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.42 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 351 runs with a .264 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this year. Corbin Carroll is batting .311 with 14 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Diamondbacks. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Ryne Nelson, who is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 67.1 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Philadelphia is 26-11 in their last 37 Game four’s of a series and 2-7 in their last 9 Thursday Games. The under is 5-1 in Philadelphia’s last 6 Thursday Games. Arizona is 1-5 in their last 6 Thursday Games and 5-1 in their last 6 Game four’s of a series. The under is 7-2 in Arizona’s last 9 Thursday Games. Philadelphia is 3-8 in these two teams last 11 head to head meetings in Arizona.

Pick

The Diamondbacks have allowed quite a few runs over their last few Games, but they still maintain their lead in the NL West. Arizona is starting Ryne Nelson in this Game, who has allowed eight earned runs over his last three starts (15.1 IP). Philadelphia is starting Aaron Nola, who has allowed 15 earned runs over his last four starts (25.1 IP). Nola allowed 6, 0, 4, and 5 earned runs in those four starts. I like the Diamondbacks in this Game

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