MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6-19-24 Picks

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Jun 19, 2024 / 4027 Views

San Diego Padres (37-39) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (48-24)
June 19, 2024 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -160 / San Diego Padres +147; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres have lost 5 straight Games and play the Brewers and Nationals next. The San Diego Padres have scored 11 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The San Diego Padres have lost 11 straight Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jurickson Profar leads the San Diego Padres with 82 hits and 47 RBI, while Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 151 hits and 81 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-24 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Tigers next. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 16 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 8 of their last 11 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 84 hits and 60 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 140 hits and 94 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Matt Waldron gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. Waldron has allowed 8 hits and 4 runs in his last 19.1 innings. Waldron has a 3.12 ERA and .213 allowed batting average in 43.1 road innings. This will be Waldron’s second career Game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 10-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Suarez has allowed 14 hits and 3 runs in his last 14.1 innings. Suarez has a 1.58 ERA and .194 allowed batting average in 40 home innings. Suarez is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won each of their last 12 home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Padres have lost each of their last nine road games.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Padres.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last three games against NL West opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against the Padres.
Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.
Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against the Padres.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL West opponents.
Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres.
Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres.
Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last five day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Jake Cronenworth has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Jake Cronenworth has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction

Matt Waldron and Ranger Suarez have both been impressive this season, and you can make a case for either side. The difference is, Suarez has been CY Young worthy this season, and he’s actually currently the betting favorite to win the award. The Phillies are 13-1 this season when Suarez pitches. I’m not running to the window to step in front of that. We also know the Padres have failed to show up in big spots a lot this season. The price is reasonable given how dominant Suarez has been. Give me the Phillies.